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Warming of Central European lakes and their response to the 1980s climate regime shift

Author

Listed:
  • R. Iestyn Woolway

    (University of Reading)

  • Martin T. Dokulil

    (University of Innsbruck)

  • Wlodzimierz Marszelewski

    (Nicolaus Copernicus University)

  • Martin Schmid

    (Eawag: Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and Technology)

  • Damien Bouffard

    (Eawag: Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and Technology)

  • Christopher J. Merchant

    (University of Reading)

Abstract

Lake surface water temperatures (LSWTs) are sensitive to atmospheric warming and have previously been shown to respond to regional changes in the climate. Using a combination of in situ and simulated surface temperatures from 20 Central European lakes, with data spanning between 50 and ∼100 years, we investigate the long-term increase in annually averaged LSWT. We demonstrate that Central European lakes are warming most in spring and experience a seasonal variation in LSWT trends. We calculate significant LSWT warming during the past few decades and illustrate, using a sequential t test analysis of regime shifts, a substantial increase in annually averaged LSWT during the late 1980s, in response to an abrupt shift in the climate. Surface air temperature measurements from 122 meteorological stations situated throughout Central Europe demonstrate similar increases at this time. Climatic modification of LSWT has numerous consequences for water quality and lake ecosystems. Quantifying the response of LSWT increase to large-scale and abrupt climatic shifts is essential to understand how lakes will respond in the future.

Suggested Citation

  • R. Iestyn Woolway & Martin T. Dokulil & Wlodzimierz Marszelewski & Martin Schmid & Damien Bouffard & Christopher J. Merchant, 2017. "Warming of Central European lakes and their response to the 1980s climate regime shift," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 142(3), pages 505-520, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:142:y:2017:i:3:d:10.1007_s10584-017-1966-4
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-017-1966-4
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Marten Scheffer & Steve Carpenter & Jonathan A. Foley & Carl Folke & Brian Walker, 2001. "Catastrophic shifts in ecosystems," Nature, Nature, vol. 413(6856), pages 591-596, October.
    2. Michael Dettinger, 2013. "Projections and downscaling of 21st century temperatures, precipitation, radiative fluxes and winds for the Southwestern US, with focus on Lake Tahoe," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 116(1), pages 17-33, January.
    3. Martin Schmid & Stefan Hunziker & Alfred Wüest, 2014. "Lake surface temperatures in a changing climate: a global sensitivity analysis," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 124(1), pages 301-315, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ptak Mariusz & Sojka Mariusz & Nowak Bogumił, 2019. "Characteristics of daily water temperature fluctuations in lake kierskie (West Poland)," Quaestiones Geographicae, Sciendo, vol. 38(3), pages 41-49, September.
    2. Martin T. Dokulil & Elvira Eyto & Stephen C. Maberly & Linda May & Gesa A. Weyhenmeyer & R. Iestyn Woolway, 2021. "Increasing maximum lake surface temperature under climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 165(3), pages 1-17, April.
    3. Konstantinos Stefanidis & George Varlas & Anastasios Papadopoulos & Elias Dimitriou, 2021. "Four Decades of Surface Temperature, Precipitation, and Wind Speed Trends over Lakes of Greece," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(17), pages 1-14, September.

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