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Przestrzenno-czasowa analiza emigracji ludności w wieku produkcyjnym

Author

Listed:
  • Elżbieta Antczak

    (Uniwersytet Łódzki)

  • Karolina Lewandowska-Gwarda

    (Uniwersytet Łódzki)

Abstract

Celem artykułu jest identyfikacja i przestrzenno-czasowa analiza determinant emigracji z Polski ludności w wieku produkcyjnym. Prezentowane w literaturze przedmiotu teorie migracji (m.in. ekonomiczne, socjologiczne, geograficzne) wskazują na konieczność prowadzenia badań nad tymi złożonymi i trudnymi do jednoznacznej oceny procesami. Emigracja ludności w wieku produkcyjnym jest uwarunkowana licznymi czynnikami – od społecznych poprzez polityczne aż po ekonomiczne czy środowiskowe. Realizacja postawionego w opracowaniu celu wymagała implementacji odpowiednich metod badawczych, takich jak ESDA oraz przestrzenne modele panelowe Durbina. Narzędzia te umożliwiły identyfikację zespołu cech determinujących wielkość emigracji ludności, wyrażonej liczbą wymeldowań za granicę z powiatów osób w wieku produkcyjnym. Oceniono również siłę i kierunek wpływu tych czynników na badaną zmienną. Analizy przeprowadzono na podstawie danych statystycznych dotyczących lat 2008–2014.

Suggested Citation

  • Elżbieta Antczak & Karolina Lewandowska-Gwarda, 2016. "Przestrzenno-czasowa analiza emigracji ludności w wieku produkcyjnym," Collegium of Economic Analysis Annals, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis, issue 41, pages 79-94.
    • Handle: RePEc:sgh:annals:i:41:y:2016:p:79-94
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Everett Lee, 1966. "A theory of migration," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 3(1), pages 47-57, March.
    2. J. Paul Elhorst, 2003. "Specification and Estimation of Spatial Panel Data Models," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 26(3), pages 244-268, July.
    3. Sascha Sardadvar & Silvia Rocha-Akis, 2016. "Interregional migration within the European Union in the aftermath of the Eastern enlargements: a spatial approach," Review of Regional Research: Jahrbuch für Regionalwissenschaft, Springer;Gesellschaft für Regionalforschung (GfR), vol. 36(1), pages 51-79, February.
    4. László Mátyás & Patrick Sevestre (ed.), 2008. "The Econometrics of Panel Data," Advanced Studies in Theoretical and Applied Econometrics, Springer, number 978-3-540-75892-1, July-Dece.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    emigracja; analiza przestrzenna; przestrzenny panelowy model Durbina;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models
    • C31 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions; Social Interaction Models
    • O15 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration

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