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Badanie dynamiki ubóstwa gospodarstw domowych z wykorzystaniem wybranych modeli analizy historii zdarzeń

Author

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  • Anna Sączewska-Piotrowska

    (Uniwersytet Ekonomiczny w Katowicach)

Abstract

Celem artykułu jest identyfikacja czynników zwiększających i zmniejszających szanse wejścia do sfery ubóstwa i wyjścia z niej. W analizie zastosowano modele analizy historii zdarzeń – semiparametryczny model Coxa oraz modele o czasie dyskretnym (logitowy oraz komplementarny logistyczno-logistyczny). W modelach uwzględniono następujące zmienne objaśniające: płeć, wiek i wykształcenie głowy gospodarstwa domowego, klasę miejscowości zamieszkania, grupę społeczno-ekonomiczną oraz status gospodarstwa domowego na rynku pracy. Analiza została poszerzona o opisową analizę czasu przeżycia w sferze ubóstwa oraz czasu przeżycia poza sferą ubóstwa z wykorzystaniem estymatora Kaplana–Meiera. Prawdopodobieństwo przeżycia w sferze ubóstwa przez długi czas jest mniejsze niż prawdopodobieństwo przeżycia poza tą sferą. Gospodarstwa domowe utrzymujące się z niezarobkowych źródeł są w najgorszej sytuacji ekonomicznej, ponieważ mają małe szanse na wyjście ze sfery ubóstwa oraz duże szanse na wejście do niej.

Suggested Citation

  • Anna Sączewska-Piotrowska, 2016. "Badanie dynamiki ubóstwa gospodarstw domowych z wykorzystaniem wybranych modeli analizy historii zdarzeń," Collegium of Economic Analysis Annals, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis, issue 41, pages 29-46.
    • Handle: RePEc:sgh:annals:i:41:y:2016:p:29-46
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Martin Biewen, 2003. "Who Are the Chronic Poor?: Evidence on the Extent and the Composition of Chronic Poverty in Germany," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 350, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    2. Ann Huff Stevens, 1999. "Climbing out of Poverty, Falling Back in: Measuring the Persistence of Poverty Over Multiple Spells," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 34(3), pages 557-588.
    3. Andriopoulou, Eirini & Tsakloglou, Panagiotis, 2011. "The determinants of poverty transitions in Europe and the role of duration dependence," MPRA Paper 30659, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Mary Jo Bane & David T. Ellwood, 1986. "Slipping into and out of Poverty: The Dynamics of Spells," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 21(1), pages 1-23.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    dynamika ubóstwa; model Coxa; model logitowy; model komplementarny logistyczno-logistyczny; estymator Kaplana–Meiera;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • D31 - Microeconomics - - Distribution - - - Personal Income and Wealth Distribution
    • I32 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - Measurement and Analysis of Poverty

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