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Establishing Critical Turning-Points in Temporal Variation

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  • George K. Jarvis

    (Department of Sociology University of Western Ontario)

Abstract

This paper presents several methods of analyzing a time series in conjunction with variables which are available only for census years. Within the framework of diffusion theory, the time series of automobile registrations per capita is examined first in terms of the existence, extent, and pattern of variation over the years 1910 to 1969. By means of simple graphic techniques, measures of central tendency, interannual correlations, and smallest-space analysis, turning-points in temporal variation are established. Cross-sectional path analysis with collateral social and economic variables at these important junctures permits substantive interpretation of the pattern of automobile diffusion in the United States.

Suggested Citation

  • George K. Jarvis, 1974. "Establishing Critical Turning-Points in Temporal Variation," Sociological Methods & Research, , vol. 2(4), pages 455-484, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:somere:v:2:y:1974:i:4:p:455-484
    DOI: 10.1177/004912417400200404
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Nerlove, Marc, 1971. "Further Evidence on the Estimation of Dynamic Economic Relations from a Time Series of Cross Sections," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 39(2), pages 359-382, March.
    2. Louis Guttman, 1968. "A general nonmetric technique for finding the smallest coordinate space for a configuration of points," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 33(4), pages 469-506, December.
    3. Fisher, Franklin M, 1970. "Tests of Equality Between Sets of Coefficients in Two Linear Regressions: An Expository Note," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 38(2), pages 361-366, March.
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