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Technological Innovation, Capability Positional Shifts, and Systemic War

Author

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  • Karen Rasler
  • William R. Thompson

    (Indiana University)

Abstract

Based on a model linking ascent prerequisites, relative decline, long-wave dynamics, and systemic war, the relationships among the pace of technological innovation, relative economic position, and naval capability are examined for Britain (1780-1913) and the United States (1870-1980). In both cases, albeit subject to different lag structures, the pace of technological innovation and relative economic position are interrelated and predict to naval capability share. The findings are quite robust and underscore empirically the dependence of a system leader's relative economic and military position on dynamic economic growth and technological leadership.

Suggested Citation

  • Karen Rasler & William R. Thompson, 1991. "Technological Innovation, Capability Positional Shifts, and Systemic War," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 35(3), pages 412-442, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:jocore:v:35:y:1991:i:3:p:412-442
    DOI: 10.1177/0022002791035003002
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Klas Eklund, 1980. "Long Waves In The Development Of Capitalism?," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(3), pages 383-419, August.
    2. Granger, C W J, 1969. "Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 37(3), pages 424-438, July.
    3. Thompson, William R., 1990. "Long waves, technological innovation, and relative decline," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 44(2), pages 201-233, April.
    4. Sims, Christopher A, 1972. "Money, Income, and Causality," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 62(4), pages 540-552, September.
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