IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/evarev/v16y1992i2p151-170.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Panel Attrition and External Validity in the Short-Term Follow-Up Study of Adolescent Substance Use

Author

Listed:
  • Jacob Kraemer Tebes

    (Yale University)

  • David L. Snow

    (Yale University)

  • Michael W. Arthur

    (Yale University)

Abstract

The present study examines the relationship among grade, substance assessed; and type of measurement and statistical analysis employed in the detection of external validity threats due to panel attrition in the modal follow-up study found in adolescent substance use research. Six successive 2-year panel samples are examined The results indicate that dropouts demonstrate significantly higher baseline mean use of licit (tobacco and alcohol) and illicit (marijuana and hard drugs) substances when ANOVA is used, but only higher baseline use of illicit substances when chi-square analyses are used In addition, although mean use tests are no more sensitive to the increased variation in substance use that occurs during adolescence, they are more likely to reveal differences between dropouts and stayers in baseline use of licit substances. The results indicate (a) that findings from school-based, longitudinal studies almost certainly underestimate the level and extent ofsubstance use among adolescents; and (b) that alternative types of attrition analyses yield different effects regardless of grade, even in the short-term follow-up study. These findings are discussed for their implications to adolescent substance use research and for the establishment of standardized procedures to consider the relative risk of Type 2 to Type 1 error in attrition analyses.

Suggested Citation

  • Jacob Kraemer Tebes & David L. Snow & Michael W. Arthur, 1992. "Panel Attrition and External Validity in the Short-Term Follow-Up Study of Adolescent Substance Use," Evaluation Review, , vol. 16(2), pages 151-170, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:evarev:v:16:y:1992:i:2:p:151-170
    DOI: 10.1177/0193841X9201600203
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/0193841X9201600203
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1177/0193841X9201600203?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kandel, D.B. & Logan, J.A., 1984. "Patterns of drug use from adolescence to young adulthood: I. Periods of risk for initiation, continued use, and discontinuation," American Journal of Public Health, American Public Health Association, vol. 74(7), pages 660-666.
    2. Yamaguchi, K. & Kandel, D.B., 1984. "Patterns of drug use from adolescence to young adulthood: II. Sequences of progression," American Journal of Public Health, American Public Health Association, vol. 74(7), pages 668-672.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ribisl, Kurt M. & Walton, Maureen A. & Mowbray, Carol T. & Luke, Douglas A. & Davidson, William S. & Bootsmiller, Bonnie J., 1996. "Minimizing participant attrition in panel studies through the use of effective retention and tracking strategies: Review and recommendations," Evaluation and Program Planning, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 1-25, February.
    2. Wright, James D. & Allen, Tupper Lampton & Devine, Joel A., 1995. "Tracking non-traditional populations in longitudinal studies," Evaluation and Program Planning, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 267-277.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hasan, Hamid & Ejaz, Nauman, 2013. "Testing for Differences across Genders: A Replication of Ultimatum Game at International Islamic University, Islamabad," MPRA Paper 44923, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Terence P. Thornberry, 2005. "Explaining Multiple Patterns of Offending across the Life Course and across Generations," The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, , vol. 602(1), pages 156-195, November.
    3. Cody Jorgensen, 2018. "Badges and Bongs: Police Officers’ Attitudes Toward Drugs," SAGE Open, , vol. 8(4), pages 21582440188, October.
    4. Jason Delaney & John Winters, 2014. "Sinners or Saints? Preachers’ Kids and Risky Health Behaviors," Journal of Family and Economic Issues, Springer, vol. 35(4), pages 464-476, December.
    5. Lucas Marín Llanes & Hernando Zuleta, 2022. "Myths of drug consumption decriminalization: effects of Portuguese decriminalization on violent and drug use mortality," Documentos CEDE 20328, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE.
    6. Beau Kilmer & Rosalie Liccardo Pacula, 2010. "Preventing Drug Use," NBER Chapters, in: Targeting Investments in Children: Fighting Poverty When Resources Are Limited, pages 181-220, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. David Kline & Staci A. Hepler, 2021. "Estimating the burden of the opioid epidemic for adults and adolescents in Ohio counties," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 77(2), pages 765-775, June.
    8. Gray, M. Kevin & Brown, Kelly L., 2009. "Drinking and drug use by college students: Comparing criminal justice majors and non-majors," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 234-240, May.
    9. Baraldi, Anna Laura & Ronza, Carla, 2019. "Organized crime and women in politics: Evidence from a quasi-experiment in southern Italy," MPRA Paper 98473, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Sandra Müller & Gerhard Gmel, 2002. "Veränderungen des Einstiegsalters in den Cannabiskonsum: Ergebnisse der zweiten Schweizer Gesundheitsbefragung 1997," International Journal of Public Health, Springer;Swiss School of Public Health (SSPH+), vol. 47(1), pages 14-23, March.
    11. Robert Andrew Yockey & Tracey E. Barnett, 2023. "Past-Year Blunt Smoking among Youth: Differences by LGBT and Non-LGBT Identity," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(7), pages 1-8, March.
    12. Ali Palali & Jan C. van Ours, 2015. "Distance to Cannabis Shops and Age of Onset of Cannabis Use," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(11), pages 1483-1501, November.
    13. Deza, Monica, 2015. "Is there a stepping stone effect in drug use? Separating state dependence from unobserved heterogeneity within and between illicit drugs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 184(1), pages 193-207.
    14. Farrelly, Matthew C. & Bray, Jeremy W. & Zarkin, Gary A. & Wendling, Brett W., 2001. "The joint demand for cigarettes and marijuana: evidence from the National Household Surveys on Drug Abuse," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 51-68, January.
    15. Grossman, Michael & Chaloupka, Frank J & Sirtalan, Ismail, 1998. "An Empirical Analysis of Alcohol Addiction: Results from the Monitoring the Future Panels," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 36(1), pages 39-48, January.
    16. Kazuo Yamaguchi, 1989. "Log-quadratic models for the analysis of Guttman scales and their status correlates," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 23(1), pages 21-38, February.
    17. Mijares, John C., 1997. "Early drug use and quits and discharges among adolescent males," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 26(4), pages 439-458.
    18. Yu, Jiang, 1998. "Alcohol, cocaine, and criminality: specifying an interaction effect model," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 26(3), pages 237-249, May.
    19. Hans Melberg & Andrew Jones & Anne Bretteville-Jensen, 2010. "Is cannabis a gateway to hard drugs?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 38(3), pages 583-603, June.
    20. Bretteville-Jensen Anne L & Melberg Hans O & Jones Andrew M, 2008. "Sequential Patterns of Drug Use Initiation - Can We Believe In the Gateway Theory?," The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 8(2), pages 1-31, January.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:evarev:v:16:y:1992:i:2:p:151-170. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.