IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/enejou/v39y2018i5p157-182.html

Technology Choices in the U.S. Electricity Industry before and after Market Restructuring

Author

Listed:
  • Zsuzsanna Csereklyei
  • David I. Stern

Abstract

We study the drivers of the adoption of electricity generation technologies between 1970 and 2014 in the lower 48 U.S. states. Since the 1990s, major electricity market restructuring took place in some parts of the United States. We explore the implications of changing from a regulated “cost-of-service†, or rate of return, system to liberalized wholesale electricity markets on technology and fuel choices.We find that wholesale market restructuring resulted in significant immediate investment in various natural gas technologies due to higher expected profits, and a reduction in coal investments. In states that adopted liberalized wholesale electricity markets, higher natural gas price expectations resulted in more investment in coal and renewable technologies, while higher coal price expectations resulted in lower coal-fired baseload power investments. Natural gas price expectations, therefore, have the potential to significantly shape the power generation landscape of the futur

Suggested Citation

  • Zsuzsanna Csereklyei & David I. Stern, 2018. "Technology Choices in the U.S. Electricity Industry before and after Market Restructuring," The Energy Journal, , vol. 39(5), pages 157-182, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:enejou:v:39:y:2018:i:5:p:157-182
    DOI: 10.5547/01956574.39.5.zcse
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.5547/01956574.39.5.zcse
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.5547/01956574.39.5.zcse?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Davis Dechert, W., 1984. "Has the averch-johnson effect been theoretically justified?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 8(1), pages 1-17, October.
    2. Fleten, Stein-Erik & Näsäkkälä, Erkka, 2010. "Gas-fired power plants: Investment timing, operating flexibility and CO2 capture," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 805-816, July.
    3. Timmermann, Allan & Granger, Clive W. J., 2004. "Efficient market hypothesis and forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 15-27.
    4. repec:aen:journl:ej34-1-01 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Thomas Covert & Michael Greenstone & Christopher R. Knittel, 2016. "Will We Ever Stop Using Fossil Fuels?," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 30(1), pages 117-138, Winter.
    6. Kira R. Fabrizio & Nancy L. Rose & Catherine D. Wolfram, 2007. "Do Markets Reduce Costs? Assessing the Impact of Regulatory Restructuring on US Electric Generation Efficiency," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 97(4), pages 1250-1277, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Blog mentions

    As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
    1. Two New Working Papers
      by noreply@blogger.com (David Stern) in Stochastic Trend on 2017-03-23 06:25:00
    2. Annual Review 2017
      by noreply@blogger.com (David Stern) in Stochastic Trend on 2017-12-28 02:26:00
    3. Annual Review 2018
      by noreply@blogger.com (David Stern) in Stochastic Trend on 2018-12-23 02:35:00

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Catherine Hausman & Lucija Muehlenbachs, 2019. "Price Regulation and Environmental Externalities: Evidence from Methane Leaks," Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, University of Chicago Press, vol. 6(1), pages 73-109.
    2. Guerard, John, 2023. "Harry Markowitz: An appreciation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1496-1501.
    3. Tin Cheuk Leung & Kwok Ping Ping & Kevin K. Tsui, 2019. "What can deregulators deregulate? The case of electricity," Journal of Regulatory Economics, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 1-32, August.
    4. Paul Simshauser, 2025. "Are gas turbines 'bankable' in transitioning energy-only markets?," Working Papers EPRG2601, Energy Policy Research Group, Cambridge Judge Business School, University of Cambridge.
    5. Doyle, Matthew & Fell, Harrison, 2018. "Fuel prices, restructuring, and natural gas plant operations," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 153-172.
    6. Zunian Luo, 2022. "Cap or No Cap? What Can Governments Do to Promote EV Sales?," Papers 2212.08137, arXiv.org.
    7. Mo, Jian-Lei & Schleich, Joachim & Zhu, Lei & Fan, Ying, 2015. "Delaying the introduction of emissions trading systems—Implications for power plant investment and operation from a multi-stage decision model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 255-264.
    8. Skare, Marinko & Gavurova, Beata & Sinkovic, Dean, 2023. "Regional aspects of financial development and renewable energy: A cross-sectional study in 214 countries," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1142-1157.
    9. Derick D. Quintino & Sergio A. David & Carlos E. de F. Vian, 2017. "Analysis of the Relationship between Ethanol Spot and Futures Prices in Brazil," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 5(2), pages 1-10, April.
    10. Santos, Lúcia & Soares, Isabel & Mendes, Carla & Ferreira, Paula, 2014. "Real Options versus Traditional Methods to assess Renewable Energy Projects," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 588-594.
    11. Jose Miguel Abito & Jin Soo Han & Jean‐François Houde & Arthur A. van Benthem, 2024. "Agency Frictions and Procurement: New Evidence from U.S. Electricity Restructuring," Journal of Industrial Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 72(1), pages 20-48, March.
    12. Zhang, Zibin & Yang, Wenxin & Ye, Jianliang, 2021. "Why sulfur dioxide emissions decline significantly from coal-fired power plants in China? Evidence from the desulfurated electricity pricing premium program," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 148(PB).
    13. Park, Cheol-Ho & Irwin, Scott H., 2004. "The Profitability Of Technical Trading Rules In Us Futures Markets: A Data Snooping Free Test," 2004 Conference, April 19-20, 2004, St. Louis, Missouri 19011, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    14. Taufiq Choudhry & Ranadeva Jayasekera, 2015. "Level of efficiency in the UK equity market: empirical study of the effects of the global financial crisis," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 44(2), pages 213-242, February.
    15. Mishra, Sasmita & Padhy, Sudarsan, 2019. "An efficient portfolio construction model using stock price predicted by support vector regression," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    16. Peter Gal & Alexander Hijzen, 2016. "The short-term impact of product market reforms: A cross-country firm-level analysis," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1311, OECD Publishing.
    17. Grischa Perino, 2010. "Price Discrimination Based on Downstream Regulation: Evidence from the Market for SO2 Scrubbers," Working Paper series, University of East Anglia, Centre for Competition Policy (CCP) 2010-09, Centre for Competition Policy, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK..
    18. Paroissien, Emmanuel, 2020. "Forecasting bulk prices of Bordeaux wines using leading indicators," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 292-309.
    19. Lucas W. Davis, 2017. "The Environmental Cost of Global Fuel Subsidies," The Energy Journal, , vol. 38(1_suppl), pages 7-28, June.
    20. Kyle C. Meng, 2016. "Estimating Path Dependence in Energy Transitions," NBER Working Papers 22536, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • Q40 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:enejou:v:39:y:2018:i:5:p:157-182. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.