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Fuelling Growth: What Drives Energy Demand in Developing Countries?

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  • Arthur van Benthem
  • Mattia Romani

Abstract

This paper investigates the relationship between energy demand, economic growth and prices in 24 non-OECD countries and three sectors from 1978-2003. We estimate linear and non-linear income andprice elasticities, using time fixed effects to control for unobserved dynamic effects such as technological change. We also test for asymmetric responses to price changes. The analysis leads to the following conclusions. First, the income elasticity of energy demand is high and increases with income, both on the country and the sector level. Second, energy demand is more responsive to end-use price than international oil price changes. Third, the price elasticity of energy demand increases with the price level. This result, driven by the residential and agricultural sector, is new to the literature for developing countries, and is consistent with the hypothesis of stronger responsiveness to high energy prices. Finally, we find that after including time fixed effects, allowing for price asymmetry adds little to the results.

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  • Arthur van Benthem & Mattia Romani, 2009. "Fuelling Growth: What Drives Energy Demand in Developing Countries?," The Energy Journal, , vol. 30(3), pages 91-114, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:enejou:v:30:y:2009:i:3:p:91-114
    DOI: 10.5547/ISSN0195-6574-EJ-Vol30-No3-5
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    1. Adeyemi, Olutomi I. & Hunt, Lester C., 2007. "Modelling OECD industrial energy demand: Asymmetric price responses and energy-saving technical change," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 693-709, July.
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    3. Ruth A. Judson & Richard Schmalensee & Thomas M. Stoker, 1999. "Economic Development and the Structure of the Demand for Commercial Energy," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 2), pages 29-57.
    4. James M. Griffin & Craig T. Schulman, 2005. "Price Asymmetry in Energy Demand Models: A Proxy for Energy-Saving Technical Change?," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 2), pages 1-22.
    5. Dermot Gately & Hiliard G. Huntington, 2002. "The Asymmetric Effects of Changes in Price and Income on Energy and Oil Demand," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 1), pages 19-55.
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    1. Le, Ha Chi & Bhattacharya, Mita & Smyth, Russell & Zhang, Xibin, 2024. "Does economic growth cause energy intensity of well-being in the very long run? Semi-parametric evidence for selected OECD countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).

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