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Mission accomplished: A reply to Reuveny and Keshk

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  • Cullen F. Goenner

Abstract

Reuveny and Keshk (“Reconsidering trade and conflict simultaneity: The risk of emphasizing technique over substance,†this issue, 2013) argue that the econometric techniques used by Goenner ( Conflict Management and Peace Science 28(5): 459–477, 2011) to test and control for endogeneity when estimating the relationship between trade and conflict lack substance. Both sets of authors propose the use of instrumental variable methods, which are known by econometricians to be the natural remedy for estimation with potentially endogenous regressors. Where Goenner (2011) and Reuveny and Keshk (2013) agree is that theory should guide variable selection and the model’s specification. Yet they differ in that, while econometric tests cannot replace theory, one should not trust the appropriateness of the model’s specification based on theory alone – one should also verify. Otherwise, as Goenner (2011) notes, attempts to control for endogeneity may fail.

Suggested Citation

  • Cullen F. Goenner, 2013. "Mission accomplished: A reply to Reuveny and Keshk," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 30(1), pages 19-23, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:compsc:v:30:y:2013:i:1:p:19-23
    DOI: 10.1177/0738894212470792
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Cullen F. Goenner, 2004. "Uncertainty of the Liberal Peace," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 41(5), pages 589-605, September.
    2. James E. Anderson & Eric van Wincoop, 2003. "Gravity with Gravitas: A Solution to the Border Puzzle," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 93(1), pages 170-192, March.
    3. Andrew K. Rose, 2004. "Do We Really Know That the WTO Increases Trade?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 94(1), pages 98-114, March.
    4. Jeffrey A. Frankel, 1997. "Regional Trading Blocs in the World Economic System," Peterson Institute Press: All Books, Peterson Institute for International Economics, number 72, October.
    5. Cullen F. Goenner, 2011. "Simultaneity between Trade and Conflict: Endogenous Instruments of Mass Destruction," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 28(5), pages 459-477, November.
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