Estimating the Impacts of a Reduction in the Foreign-born Labor Supply on a State Economy: A Nested CGE Analysis of the Idaho Economy
This analysis examines the effects of reducing the supply of foreign-born labor on the Idaho economy. We estimate effects on gross state product, state and local tax revenue, total economic output, employment, wages, and changes in household welfare measured as equivalent variation. Estimates of labor usage by industry sector are obtained from governmental and non-governmental data sources and are incorporated into a 14 sector nested computable general equilibrium (CGE) model with five primary factors of production consisting of capital and four different labor groups (foreign-born less educated, native-born less educated, foreign-born more educated, and native-born more educated). The results of the model indicate that at the expected elasticities of substitution between similarly educated native-born and foreign-born labor, the reduction of the foreign-born less educated labor supply modestly increases the demand for native-born less educated labor while causing reductions in state GDP, total economic output, and household utility. The importance of the elasticities of substitution between the various labor groups in influencing the impact results is discussed and a sensitivity analysis performed. The CGE results are then compared to the results of another common model for estimating impacts, an input-output model, and the differences are discussed.
When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:rre:publsh:v:42:y:2012:i:1:p:51-74. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Mark L. Burkey)
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.
If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.