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Evolution of Regional and Sub-Regional Disparities in Romania – A Sectoral Shift-Share Analysis

Author

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  • Chilian, Mihaela Nona

    () (Institute for Economic Forecasting, Bucharest, Romania)

Abstract

The paper aims to assess the evolution of sectoral development disparities (as regards value-added and employment, for the main sectors of the economy) in the regions and counties of Romania. Using classical shift-share analysis tools, we investigate the extent to which the existing interregional and, especially, intra-regional and inter-county inequalities can be attributed to different factors, such as industry mix, and to regional specific factors. The results reveal a diverse milieu and offer useful insights for both general and specifically targeted policies in the area of regional development.

Suggested Citation

  • Chilian, Mihaela Nona, 2012. "Evolution of Regional and Sub-Regional Disparities in Romania – A Sectoral Shift-Share Analysis," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 187-204, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v::y:2012:i:1:p:187-204
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Miron, Dumitru & Dima, Alina Mihaela & Vasilache, Simona, 2009. "Indexes of Regional Economic Growth in Post-Accession Romania," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 6(3), pages 138-152, September.
    2. Jula, Dorin & Jula, Nicoleta, 2009. "Productivity and the Regional Employment in Services. Econometric Estimations for Romania," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 6(3), pages 129-137, September.
    3. Selting, Anne C. & Loveridge, Scott, 1992. "A Summary Of The Literature On Shift-Share Analysis," Staff Papers 14086, University of Minnesota, Department of Applied Economics.
    4. Gordon F. Mulligan & Andreas Molin, 2004. "Estimating population change with a two-category shift-share model," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 38(1), pages 113-130, March.
    5. Mereuta, Cezar & Albu, Lucian Liviu & Iordan, Marioara & Chilian, Mihaela Nona, 2007. "A Model to Evaluate the Regional Competitiveness of the EU Regions," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 4(3), pages 81-102, September.
    6. Miguel A. Márquez & Julián Ramajo & Geoffrey J. D. Hewings, 2009. "Incorporating Sectoral Structure into Shift-Share Analysis," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(4), pages 594-618.
    7. Scutaru, Cornelia & Fomin, Petre & Stanica, Cristian, 2010. "Prospects for the Evolution of the Economic Sectors’ Behavior," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(5), pages 120-142.
    8. Yiannis KAMARIANAKIS (IACM and University of Crete) & Julie Le GALLO (GRES- IFReDE-IERSO), 2003. "The evolution of regional productivity disparities in the European Union, 1975-2000," Cahiers du GRES (2002-2009) 2003-15, Groupement de Recherches Economiques et Sociales.
    9. David Wadley & Phillip Smith, 2003. "Straightening up shift-share analysis," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 37(2), pages 259-261, May.
    10. Sandy Dall’erba & Yiannis Kamarianaki & Julie Le Gallo & Maria Plotnikova, 2003. "Regional Productivity Differentials in Poland, Hungary and the Czech Republic," Urban/Regional 0310004, EconWPA.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Laura Brad & Florin Dobre & Radu Ciobanu, 2014. "A regional approach of financial performance- evidence from Romania," Proceedings of International Academic Conferences 0702573, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
    2. IORDAN Marioara & GRIGORESCU Adriana & CHILIAN Mihaela-Nona, 2013. "Sub-Regional Disparities In Romania - The Case Of The Centru Region," Revista Economica, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 65(5), pages 102-117.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Romanian regions; regional disparities; shift-share analysis; regional development;

    JEL classification:

    • O18 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis; Housing; Infrastructure
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)
    • R15 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Econometric and Input-Output Models; Other Methods

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