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Compositional Analysis Of Foreign Currency Reserves In The 1999-2007 Period. The Euro Vs. The Dollar As Leading Reserve Currency

Author

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  • Aristovnik, Aleksander

    (International and Public Sector Economics at the University of Ljubljana (Faculty of Administration and Faculty of Economics))

  • Čeč, Tanja

    (University of Ljubljana (Faculty of Economics))

Abstract

Using a critical analysis of the acquired data, this article mainly aims to present the currency composition of the foreign currency reserves of central banks in selected countries in the 1999-2007 period and, on this basis, to establish whether the euro stands any real chances of dethroning the US dollar as the global currency. Among other things, the empirical results, for the most part overlapping with the theoretical and empirical expectations, confirm the hypothesis that in the near future the euro may be regarded as a global reserve currency on a par with the US dollar or it may even become the leading reserve currency. Finally, the empirical analysis also shows that the proportion of the euro in foreign currency reserves differs by the groups of countries concerned; however, in the period under scrutiny it was mainly increasing.

Suggested Citation

  • Aristovnik, Aleksander & Čeč, Tanja, 2010. "Compositional Analysis Of Foreign Currency Reserves In The 1999-2007 Period. The Euro Vs. The Dollar As Leading Reserve Currency," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 165-181, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v::y:2010:i:1:p:165-181
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Min Zhang & Adam W. Kolkiewicz & Tony S. Wirjanto & Xindan Li, 2015. "The impacts of financial crisis on sovereign credit risk analysis in Asia and Europe," International Journal of Financial Engineering (IJFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 2(03), pages 1-57.
    2. Min Zhang & Adam W. Kolkiewicz & Tony S. Wirjanto & Xindan Li, 2013. "The Impacts of Financial Crisis on Sovereign Credit Risk Analysis in Asia and Europe," Working Paper series 62_13, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    international monetary system; international currency; foreign currency reserves; dollar; euro;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F02 - International Economics - - General - - - International Economic Order and Integration
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General

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