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El efecto Evo

Author

Listed:
  • Villegas, Horacio Villegas

    () (Universidad de Chile)

  • Aguilar, Tirza J. Aguilar

    () (Universidad Católica Boliviana “San Pablo”)

  • Vargas, Jaime Vargas

    () (Banco Central de Bolivia)

  • Montaño, Cecilia Montaño

    () (Instituto de Investigaciones Socio Económicas)

Abstract

Utilizando un modelo de equilibrio general computable y aplicando una microsimulación sobre la Encuesta MECOVI del año 2007, el documento muestra que la inversión pública tiene un efecto positivo sobre la reducción de la pobreza en escenarios de inversión moderada, inversión actual e inversión alta. No obstante, la reducción de la pobreza no es muy significativa. Los resultados más importantes se evidencian en el índice de recuento, que se reduce alrededor de 3 puntos en un escenario de alta intervención, y 2 puntos en un escenario de inversión como el actual. Sin embargo, los resultados obtenidos para los indicadores de brecha y severidad de pobreza son más modestos.

Suggested Citation

  • Villegas, Horacio Villegas & Aguilar, Tirza J. Aguilar & Vargas, Jaime Vargas & Montaño, Cecilia Montaño, 2010. "El efecto Evo," Revista Latinoamericana de Desarrollo Economico, Instituto de Investigaciones Socio-Económicas (IISEC), Universidad Católica Boliviana, issue 14, pages 163-182.
  • Handle: RePEc:ris:revlde:1406
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Thurlow, James & van Seventer, Dirk Ernst, 2002. "A standard computable general equilibrium model for South Africa," TMD discussion papers 100, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    2. Rainer Thiele & Daniel Piazolo, 2003. "A Social Accounting Matrix for Bolivia Featuring Formal and Informal Activities," Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 40(120), pages 285-318.
    3. Rattso, Jorn, 1982. "Different macroclosures of the original Johansen model and their impact on policy evaluation," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 4(1), pages 85-97, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Pobreza; inversión pública; Modelo de Equilibrio General Computable; índice de recuento; brecha; severidad; MECOVI;

    JEL classification:

    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy
    • I32 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - Measurement and Analysis of Poverty

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