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A Quantitative Evaluation of Vietnam's Accession to the ASEAN Free Trade Area

  • Martin, Will

    ()

    (The World Bank)

This paper analyses the impacts of Vietnam's ASEAN Free Trade Area(AFTA) accession using a multi-region and muti-sector general equilibrium model. The static benefits of AFTA accession are likely to be relatively small. The gains from increased access to ASEAN makets would be small, and the would be offset by the costs of trade diversion. If Vietnam extends its AFTA commitments on a non-discriminatory basis, Vietnam's welfare would increase substantially. These gains are larger in part because the broader liberalization reduce the costly trade diversion and partly the resources are more efficiently allocate among Vietnam's industries. Although some currently protected industries would contract, the expansion of labor intensive manufacturing would bring greater benefits.

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Article provided by Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University in its journal Journal of Economic Integration.

Volume (Year): 16 (2001)
Issue (Month): ()
Pages: 545-567

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Handle: RePEc:ris:integr:0177
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  1. Diego Puga & Anthony J. Venables, 1995. "Preferential Trading Arrangements and Industrial Location," CEP Discussion Papers dp0267, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
  2. Puga, Diego & Venables, Anthony J, 1998. "Agglomeration and Economic Development: Import Substitution Vs. Trade Liberalization," CEPR Discussion Papers 1782, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  3. W. E. G. Salter, 1959. "Internal And External Balance: The Role Op Price And Expenditure Effects," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 35(71), pages 226-238, 08.
  4. Martin, W. & Winters, L.A., 1995. "The Uruguay Round and the Developing Countries," World Bank - Discussion Papers 307, World Bank.
  5. Martin, Will J. & Warr, Peter G., 1994. "Determinants of agriculture's relative decline: Thailand," Agricultural Economics of Agricultural Economists, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 11(2-3), December.
  6. Jeffrey D. Sachs & Andrew Warner, 1995. "Economic Reform and the Process of Global Integration," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 26(1, 25th A), pages 1-118.
  7. repec:cup:cbooks:9780521586016 is not listed on IDEAS
  8. Huff, Karen & Thomas W. Hertel, 2001. "Decomposing Welfare Changes in GTAP," GTAP Technical Papers 308, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University.
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