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Le dollar et l’euro : la primauté monétaire de l’Europe a-t-elle une place?

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  • Uctum, Merih

    (Brooklyn College)

  • Deusy-Fournier, Pierre

    (Commission européenne)

Abstract

This study examines whether the move toward a single European currency leading to internationalization of major European currencies has challenged the dollar's supremacy since the 1980s. We find that the decline of the international role of the dollar, which started right after the collapse of the Bretton Woods system, is continuing. This decline is visible in private uses of the dollar, although the US currency still dominates the other currencies in official uses. If a single European currency is adopted, the evidence suggests that the euro will likely become a major competitor to the dollar as an international currency. L’objet de cette étude est de déterminer si la suprématie du dollar a été remise en question depuis 1980, date à laquelle ont débuté les démarches pour la création d’une monnaie européenne unique devant mener à l’internationalisation des principales monnaies européennes. Nous avons constaté que le déclin du rôle international du dollar, qui s’était amorcé juste après l’effondrement du système de Bretton Woods, se poursuit. Ce déclin est visible au niveau des utilisations privées du dollar, bien que la monnaie américaine continue à dominer les autres lorsqu’il s’agit des utilisations officielles. Si une monnaie européenne unique est adoptée, les résultats empiriques laissent penser qu’elle pourrait fortement concurrencer le dollar à titre de monnaie internationale.

Suggested Citation

  • Uctum, Merih & Deusy-Fournier, Pierre, 1998. "Le dollar et l’euro : la primauté monétaire de l’Europe a-t-elle une place?," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 74(4), pages 669-694, décembre.
  • Handle: RePEc:ris:actuec:v:74:y:1998:i:4:p:669-694
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    1. Karen H. Johnson, 1994. "International dimension of European Monetary Union: implications for the dollar," International Finance Discussion Papers 469, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
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    6. Yusuru Ozeki & George S Tavlas, 1992. "The Internationalization of Currencies; An Appraisal of the Japanese Yen," IMF Occasional Papers 90, International Monetary Fund.
    7. McCauley, R.N., 1997. "The Euro and the Dollar," Princeton Essays in International Economics 205, International Economics Section, Departement of Economics Princeton University,.
    8. Tavlas, G.S., 1991. "On the International Use of Currencies: the Case of the Deutsche Mark," Princeton Studies in International Economics 181, International Economics Section, Departement of Economics Princeton University,.
    9. De Grauwe, Paul, 1996. "How to Fix Conversion Rates at the Start of EMU," CEPR Discussion Papers 1530, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    10. Dowd, Kevin & Greenaway, David, 1993. "Currency Competition, Network Externalities and Switching Costs: Towards an Alternative View of Optimum Currency Areas," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 103(420), pages 1180-1189, September.
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