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L’hypothèse du revenu permanent avec attentes rationnelles : une évaluation économétrique canadienne

Listed author(s):
  • Guay, Richard

    (Institut d’économie appliquée, École des Hautes Études Commerciales)

  • Raynauld, Jacques

    (Institut d’économie appliquée, École des Hautes Études Commerciales)

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    The work of Robert Hall (1978) on the stochastic implications of the rational expectations-permanent income (RE-PI) theory has initiated numerous empirical analysis. The purpose of this paper is to reexamine this question using the methodology recently proposed by Abel and Mishkin (1983) on a Canadian data set; we will show that the approach retained nicely generalize previous tests that have been applied. Furthermore, special attention will be devoted to the transformations necessary to achieve stationarity. Our results support and extend the previous rejections of the RE-PI hypothesis by highlighting the role played by the consumption aggregate used in the test. Depuis les travaux de Robert Hall (1978), l’hypothèse du revenu permanent avec attentes rationnelles (RP-AR) a été l’objet de nombreuses vérifications empiriques. Le but de cet article est de reprendre et d’unifier un certain nombre de tests qui ont été proposés à l’aide de la méthodologie d’Abel et Mishkin (1983) et de l’appliquer aux données canadiennes. Contrairement aux études précédentes, une attention particulière est accordée au traitement préliminaire des données afin de satisfaire l’hypothèse de stationnarité. Nos résultats empiriques confirment et renforcent les conclusions précédentes en mettant en évidence le rôle particulier de l’agrégat de consommation choisi lors du test.

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    Article provided by Société Canadienne de Science Economique in its journal L'Actualité économique.

    Volume (Year): 62 (1986)
    Issue (Month): 1 (mars)
    Pages: 43-63

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    Handle: RePEc:ris:actuec:v:62:y:1986:i:1:p:43-63
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