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Estimation de la demande en eau d'irrigation sous incertitude

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  • Christophe Bontemps
  • Stéphane Couture
  • Pascal Favard

Abstract

[fre] Dans cet article, nous considérons un agriculteur averse au risque, évoluant dans un contexte d'incertitude climatique, face à des décisions séquentielles d'irrigation. Dans ce cadre complexe, notre but est d'estimer la demande en eau d'irrigation. L'originalité de ce travail est d'une part, d'intégrer un modèle biophysique (EPIC-Phase), dans un modèle de programmation et d'autre part d'utiliser les méthodes non-paramétriques d'estimation. Au prix de cette complexité, nous invalidons les résultats de la littérature. En effet, la demande en eau d'irrigation que nous obtenons n'est pas convexe, ce qui devrait avoir des implications en termes de politique de l'eau. [eng] Irrigation water demand estimation - In this paper, we considéra risk adverse farmer, facing sequential irrigation decisions under climatic uncertainty. In this complex framework, our goal is to estimate the irrigation water demand. The originality of this work lies, first, in the integration of a bio-simulation model (EPIC-Phase) into a programming model and, second, in the nonparametric estimation methods used. As a result we invalidate the literature's results on the subject. The irrigation water demand we get is not convex, which should have implications in terms of water policy.

Suggested Citation

  • Christophe Bontemps & Stéphane Couture & Pascal Favard, 2003. "Estimation de la demande en eau d'irrigation sous incertitude," Économie rurale, Programme National Persée, vol. 276(1), pages 17-24.
  • Handle: RePEc:prs:recoru:ecoru_0013-0559_2003_num_276_1_5421 Note: DOI:10.3406/ecoru.2003.5421
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jacques Gallezot, 2002. "Accès au marché agricole et agro-alimentaire de Tue Le point de vue du négociateur à I'omc et celui du douanier," Économie rurale, Programme National Persée, vol. 267(1), pages 56-66.
    2. Drusilla K. Brown & Alan V. Deardorff & Robert M. Stern, 2009. "Some Economic Effects of the Free Trade Agreement between Tunisia and the European Union," World Scientific Book Chapters,in: Globalization And International Trade Policies, chapter 11, pages 343-392 World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    3. Henri C. Ghesquière, 1998. "Impact of European Union Assocation Agreements on Mediterranean Countries," IMF Working Papers 98/116, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Mohamed Abdelbasset Chemingui & Sébastien Dessus, 1999. "La libéralisation de l'agriculture tunisienne et l'Union européenne : Une vue prospective," OECD Development Centre Working Papers 144, OECD Publishing.
    5. W. Sawyer & Richard Sprinkle, 1989. "Alternative empirical estimates of trade creation and trade diversion: A comparison of the Baldwin-Murray and Verdoorn models," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 125(1), pages 61-73, March.
    6. Nanno Mulder & Alexandre Vialou & Beatriz David & Monica Rodriguez & Marta Castilho, 2004. "La compétitivité de l’agriculture et des industries agroalimentaires dans le Mercosur et l’Union européenne dans une perspective de libéralisation commerciale," Working Papers 2004-19, CEPII research center.
    7. repec:fth:michin:385 is not listed on IDEAS
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    Cited by:

    1. Liliane Bonnal & Pascal Favard, 1999. "Prévisions à court terme du niveau des aquifères : le cas de la nappe de Beauce," Cahiers d'Economie et Sociologie Rurales, INRA Department of Economics, vol. 53, pages 75-91.
    2. Berbel, J. & Calatrava, J. & Garrido. A., 2007. "Water pricing and irrigation: a review of the European experience," IWMI Books, Reports H040611, International Water Management Institute.

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