IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/prs/ecoprv/ecop_0249-4744_1992_num_104_3_5293.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

La détermination des taux de change dans les modèles multinationaux : l'état de l'art

Author

Listed:
  • Agnès Bénassy
  • Henri Sterdyniak

Abstract

[eng] Establishing Exchange Rates in Multinational Models : A State of the Art, . by Agnès Bénassy, Henri Sterdyniak.. . This article analyses different theoretical models for establishing exchange rates and develops those which are used in multinational models. It examines the impact of choices over expectations,the balance sheet effects and monetary policy. This theoretical framework then makes it possible to examine how multinational empirical models handle exchange rates. [fre] La détermination des taux de change dans les modèles multinationaux : l'état de l'art, . par Agnès Bénassy, Henri Sterdyniak.. . Cet article analyse les différents modèles théoriques de détermination du taux de change et présente ceux qui sont retenus dans les modèles multinationaux. Il examine l'impact des choix relatifs aux anticipations, aux effets patrimoniaux et à la politique monétaire. Ce cadre théorique permet ensuite d'étudier la manière dont les modèles empiriques multinationaux traitent les taux de change. [ger] Die Bestimmung der Wechselkurse in den multinationalen Modellen: eine Bestandsaufnahme, . von Agnès Bénassy, Henri Sterdyniak.. . In diesem Artikel werden die verschiedenen theoretischen Modelle für die Bestimmung der Wechselkurse analysiert und diejenigen aufgeführt, die bei den multinationalen Modellen zur Anwendung kommen. Untersucht wird die jeweilige Auswirkung der Optionen hinsichtlich der Vorwegnahmen, der Folgen für die Bilanzvermögenswerte sowie der Währungspolitik. Innerhalb dieses theoretischen Rahmens kann dann untersucht werden, wie die Wechselkurse in den multinationalen empirischen Modellen behandelt werden. [spa] Determinación de los tipos de cambio en los modelos multinacionales: estado del arte, . por Agnès Bénassy y Henri Sterdyniak.. . En el presente artículo se analizan los diversos modelos teóricos de determinación del tipo de cambio y se presentan los utilizados en los modelos multinacionales. Acto seguido se analiza el impacto de las decisiones relativas a las anticipaciones, a los efectos patrimoniales y a la política monetaria. Este marco teórico permite estudiar a continuación la forma en que los modelos empíricos tratan los tipos de cambio.

Suggested Citation

  • Agnès Bénassy & Henri Sterdyniak, 1992. "La détermination des taux de change dans les modèles multinationaux : l'état de l'art," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 104(3), pages 39-71.
  • Handle: RePEc:prs:ecoprv:ecop_0249-4744_1992_num_104_3_5293
    DOI: 10.3406/ecop.1992.5293
    Note: DOI:10.3406/ecop.1992.5293
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.3406/ecop.1992.5293
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.persee.fr/doc/ecop_0249-4744_1992_num_104_3_5293
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.3406/ecop.1992.5293?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Pete Richardson, 1990. "Simulating the OECD INTERLINK Model under Alternative Monetary Policy Rules," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 85, OECD Publishing.
    2. Amano, Akihiro & Holtham, Gerald & Hooper, Peter & Pauly, Peter, 1986. "Comparative exchange rate simulations," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 131-135, February.
    3. Mathieu Féroldi & Henri Sterdyniak, 1987. "La dynamique du taux de change : du long au court terme," Post-Print hal-03428757, HAL.
    4. Simon Wren-Lewis, 1987. "Introducing Exchange-Rate Equations Into a World Econometric Model," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 119(1), pages 57-67, February.
    5. Frenkel, Jacob A & Razin, Assaf, 1987. "Fiscal Policies and the World Economy; An Intertemporal Approach (Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press, 1987)," MPRA Paper 20438, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Branson, William H. & Henderson, Dale W., 1985. "The specification and influence of asset markets," Handbook of International Economics, in: R. W. Jones & P. B. Kenen (ed.), Handbook of International Economics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 15, pages 749-805, Elsevier.
    7. Robert A. Mundell, 1962. "The Appropriate Use of Monetary and Fiscal Policy for Internal and External Stability," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 9(1), pages 70-79, March.
    8. Meese, Richard A. & Rogoff, Kenneth, 1983. "Empirical exchange rate models of the seventies : Do they fit out of sample?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(1-2), pages 3-24, February.
    9. Kouri, Pentti J K, 1976. " The Exchange Rate and the Balance of Payments in the Short Run and in the Long Run: A Monetary Approach," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 78(2), pages 280-304.
    10. Adrian Blundell-Wignall & M. Rondoni & Helmut Ziegelschmidt & J. Morgan, 1984. "Monetary Policy in the OECD INTERLINK Model," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 16, OECD Publishing.
    11. Henri Sterdyniak & Michèle Debonneuil, 1984. "La boucle prix-salaires dans l'inflation," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 35(2), pages 267-312.
    12. Masson, Paul R., 1988. "Strategies for modeling exchange rates and capital flows in multicountry models," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 10(2), pages 205-228.
    13. Henri Sterdyniak & Éric Bleuze, 1988. "L'interdépendance des économies en change flexible : les apports d'une maquette dynamique," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 39(5), pages 999-1034.
    14. Masson, Paul R., 1981. "Dynamic stability of portfolio balance models of the exchange rate," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 11(4), pages 467-477, November.
    15. Paul R. Masson, 1987. "The Dynamics of a Two-Country Minimodel under Rational Expectations," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 6-7, pages 37-69.
    16. David T. Coe & Richard Herd & Marie-Christine Bonnefous, 1987. "International Investment-Income Determination in INTERLINK: Models for 23 OECD Countries and Six Non-OECD Regions," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 45, OECD Publishing.
    17. Hooper, Peter, 1986. "Exchange rate simulation properties of the MCM," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 171-198, February.
    18. Dornbusch, Rudiger, 1976. "Expectations and Exchange Rate Dynamics," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 84(6), pages 1161-1176, December.
    19. Bryant, R.C. & Helliwell, J.F. & Hooper, P., 1989. "Domestic And Cross-Border Consequences Of U.S. Macroeconomic Policies," Papers 68, Brookings Institution - Working Papers.
    20. Ishii, Naoko & McKibbin, Warwick & Sachs, Jeffrey, 1985. "The economic policy mix, policy cooperation, and protectionism: Some aspects of macroeconomic interdependence among the United States, Japan, and other OECD countries," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 7(4), pages 533-572.
    21. Peter Hooper & Richard D. Haas & Steven A. Symansky & Mustapha K. Nabli, 1983. "Revision of Exchange-Rate Determination in the MCM," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Paul Grauwe & Theo Peeters (ed.), Exchange Rates in Multicountry Econometric Models, chapter 7, pages 210-238, Palgrave Macmillan.
    22. repec:adr:anecst:y:1987:i:6-7:p:03 is not listed on IDEAS
    23. Burridge, Mark & Dhar, Shamik & Mayes, David & Meen, Geoffrey & Neal, Edwina & Tyrrell, Nick & Walker, John, 1991. "Oxford economic forecasting's system of models," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 227-227, July.
    24. Kaneko, Takafumi & Yasuhara, Norikazu, 1986. "Exchange rate simulations with the EPA world economic model," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 237-259, February.
    25. Dornbusch, Rudiger & Fischer, Stanley, 1980. "Exchange Rates and the Current Account," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 70(5), pages 960-971, December.
    26. Pete Richardson, 1987. "A Review of the Simulation Properties of OECD's INTERLINK Model," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 47, OECD Publishing.
    27. Warwick J. McKibbin & Jeffrey D. Sachs, 1989. "The McKibbin-Sachs Global Model: Theory and Specifications," NBER Working Papers 3100, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    28. Amano, Akihiro, 1986. "Exchange rate simulations : A comparative study," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 137-148, February.
    29. Pete Richardson, 1987. "Recent Developments in OECD's International Macroeconomic Model," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 46, OECD Publishing.
    30. Hali J. Edison & Jaime R. Marquez & Ralph W. Tryon, 1986. "The structure and properties of the FRB multicountry model.Part I: Model description and simulation results," International Finance Discussion Papers 293, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    31. Henderson, Dale W. & Rogoff, Kenneth, 1982. "Negative net foreign asset positions and stability in a world portfolio balance model," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 13(1-2), pages 85-104, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Jérôme Creel & Henri Sterdyniak, 1999. "La politique monétaire sans monnaie," Revue de l'OFCE, Programme National Persée, vol. 70(1), pages 111-153.
    2. Fabrice Capoen & Jérôme Creel & Pascal Cussy & Hélène Lenoble-Liaud, 2000. "How to manage speculative shocks : intra-european vs. international monetary coordination," Sciences Po publications N° 2000-01, Sciences Po.
    3. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/2961 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/2978 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Antoine Bouveret, 2010. "Politiques économiques, dynamique et équilibre de long terme du taux de change," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/53r60a8s3ku, Sciences Po.
    6. Antoine Bouveret, 2010. "Economic policies, long run equilibrium and exchange rate dynamics [Politiques économiques, dynamique et équilibre de long terme du taux de change]," SciencePo Working papers Main tel-04097866, HAL.
    7. Fabrice Capoën & Pierre Villa, 1997. "Internal and External Policy Coordination: a Dynamic Analysis," Working Papers 1997-15, CEPII research center.
    8. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/5221 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. repec:spo:wpecon:info:hdl:2441/53r60a8s3kup1vc9kd52ge69h is not listed on IDEAS
    10. repec:hal:wpspec:info:hdl:2441/53r60a8s3kup1vc9kd52ge69h is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Bruno Ducoudre, 2008. "Structure par terme des taux d’intérêt et anticipations de la politique économique," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/5221, Sciences Po.
    12. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/53r60a8s3kup1vc9kd52ge69h is not listed on IDEAS

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Maggiori, Matteo, 2021. "International Macroeconomics With Imperfect Financial Markets," SocArXiv z8g6r, Center for Open Science.
    2. Henri Sterdyniak & Éric Bleuze, 1988. "L'interdépendance des économies en change flexible : les apports d'une maquette dynamique," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 39(5), pages 999-1034.
    3. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/5386 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. repec:spo:wpecon:info:hdl:2441/53r60a8s3kup1vc9kd52ge69h is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Eric Bleuze, 1988. "L'interdépendance des économies en change flexible : les apports d'une maquette dynamique," Post-Print hal-01304325, HAL.
    6. Antoine Bouveret, 2010. "Politiques économiques, dynamique et équilibre de long terme du taux de change," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/53r60a8s3ku, Sciences Po.
    7. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/53r60a8s3kup1vc9kd52ge69h is not listed on IDEAS
    8. repec:hal:wpspec:info:hdl:2441/53r60a8s3kup1vc9kd52ge69h is not listed on IDEAS
    9. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/5221 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Bruno Ducoudre, 2008. "Structure par terme des taux d’intérêt et anticipations de la politique économique," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/5221, Sciences Po.
    11. Obstfeld, Maurice & Stockman, Alan C., 1985. "Exchange-rate dynamics," Handbook of International Economics, in: R. W. Jones & P. B. Kenen (ed.), Handbook of International Economics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 18, pages 917-977, Elsevier.
    12. Habib Ahmed & C. Paul Hallwood & Stephen M. Miller, 2006. "The Exchange Rate-Investment Nexus and Exchange Rate Instability: Another Reason for 'Fear of Floating'," Working papers 2006-15, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, revised Jan 2009.
    13. Gylfason, Thorvaldur & Helliwell, John F, 1983. "A Synthesis of Keynesian, Monetary, and Portfolio Approaches to Flexible Exchange Rates," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 93(372), pages 820-831, December.
    14. Suman S. Basu & Atish R. Ghosh & Jonathan D. Ostry & Pablo E. Winant, 2018. "Managing Capital Outflows with Limited Reserves," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 66(2), pages 333-374, June.
    15. Antoine Bouveret, 2010. "Economic policies, long run equilibrium and exchange rate dynamics [Politiques économiques, dynamique et équilibre de long terme du taux de change]," SciencePo Working papers Main tel-04097866, HAL.
    16. repec:zbw:bofrdp:1988_017 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. William H. Branson, 1985. "The Dynamic Interaction of Exchange Rates and Trade Flows," NBER Working Papers 1780, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    18. Agnès Bénassy & Murielle Fiole & Emmanuel Fourmann & Henri Sterdyniak, 1992. "De la flexibilité des taux de change et de ses conséquences macroéconomiques [La détermination des taux d'intérêt et des taux de change dans le modèle MIMOSA ]," Revue de l'OFCE, Programme National Persée, vol. 40(1), pages 201-247.
    19. Matthew Canzoneri & Robert Cumby & Behzad Diba, 2013. "Addressing International Empirical Puzzles: the Liquidity of Bonds," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 197-215, April.
    20. R. Scott Hacker & Hyunjoo Kim Karlsson & Kristofer Månsson, 2012. "The Relationship between Exchange Rates and Interest Rate Differentials: A Wavelet Approach," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(9), pages 1162-1185, September.
    21. Cavallo, Michele & Ghironi, Fabio, 2002. "Net foreign assets and the exchange rate: Redux revived," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(5), pages 1057-1097, July.
    22. Habib Ahmed & C. Paul Hallwood & Stephen M. Miller, 1997. "Monetary Policy in a Portfolio Balance Model with Endogenous Physical Capital," Working papers 1997-08, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    23. Alpo Willman, 1989. "If the markka floated : simulating the BOF4 model with fixed and floating exchange rates," Finnish Economic Papers, Finnish Economic Association, vol. 2(1), pages 3-19, Spring.
    24. Agnieszka Domańska, 2013. "References to the Mundell-Fleming Model Found in New Models and the Evolution of Approaches in Analyzing the International Effects of Macroeconomic Policy," Ekonomia journal, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw, vol. 32.
    25. Ozawa Terutomo & Van den Berg Hendrik & Lewer Joshua J. & Krol Robert & Makin Anthony J., 2001. "Global Economy Quarterly, Issue 1," Global Economy Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 2(1), pages 1-109, December.
    26. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/5264 is not listed on IDEAS
    27. Colombo, Emilio & Pelagatti, Matteo, 2020. "Statistical learning and exchange rate forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1260-1289.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:prs:ecoprv:ecop_0249-4744_1992_num_104_3_5293. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Equipe PERSEE (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.persee.fr/collection/ecop .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.