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Czech Swap Market in the Crisis Period

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  • Martin Pohl

Abstract

The swap market is key segment of the fixed income market due to its liquidity and tight links to other market segments. In our paper we estimate basic parameters of the swap curve and we test the stability of these parameters during the crises period. Our estimate confirms that the Czech swap curve may be represented by three components that track its level, slope and curvature. These parameters were stable during the crises period that culminated in the autumn 2008. On contrary, the basic swap curve characteristics are showing most abnormal behaviour during periods of relative calm development. The traditional determinants of the Czech swap curve remain monetary policy, euro swap rates and risk premiums. Although risk premiums are low in the swap market, the large increase in risk premium in the Czech money market rates had significant impact on the swap curve slope during the crises period.

Suggested Citation

  • Martin Pohl, 2012. "Czech Swap Market in the Crisis Period," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2012(1), pages 101-122.
    • Handle: RePEc:prg:jnlpep:v:2012:y:2012:i:1:id:413:p:101-122
    DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.413
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Clarida, Richard H, 2001. "The Empirics of Monetary Policy Rules in Open Economies," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 6(4), pages 315-323, October.
    2. John C. Williams & John B. Taylor, 2009. "A Black Swan in the Money Market," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 1(1), pages 58-83, January.
    3. Jiří Witzany, 2009. "Valuation of Convexity Related Interest Rate Derivatives," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2009(4), pages 309-326.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    financial crises; multivariate methods; swap curve; money market;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C38 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Classification Methdos; Cluster Analysis; Principal Components; Factor Analysis
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises

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