IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/plo/pone00/0301698.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Moderating role of political stability and economic policy uncertainty between country governance practice and stock market performance. A comparative analysis of Pakistan and Kurdistan Region of Iraq

Author

Listed:
  • Rekurd S Maghdid
  • Saeed Mohammed Kareem
  • Yaseen Salih Hama
  • Muhammad Waris
  • Rana Tahir Naveed

Abstract

The objective of the study is to explore the relationship between country governance practices along with political stability and Economic policy uncertainty, and stock market performance of two different economies, Pakistan and Kurdistan region of Iraq. To meet our objectives, we used the 25 years past data from 1996 to 2021. Data is collected from the DataStream database. The regression analysis is used as the method of estimation for linear and moderation effect. Our results show that regulatory quality, rules of law and political stability has significant positive relationship with stock market performance of Pakistan, but all the governance indicators have significant positive relationship with stock market performance of the Kurdistan Region of Iraq. Moreover, political stability has significant moderating impact between the governance practices and the performance of the stock markets of both economies indicating that the governance practices perform well with the political stability that leads to rise in the stock market indices of selected countries. Economic policy uncertainty has significant negative moderation impact due to creating the risk in both economies that decrease the performance of the stock markets of the selected economies. Finally, our study advocated some implications for the investors to increase their confidence on the stock of high political stability and low economic policy uncertainty economies. Government can take significant measures to control the uncertainty of the policy and portfolio managers can adjust their risk on the ground of the political stability and efficient governance practices countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Rekurd S Maghdid & Saeed Mohammed Kareem & Yaseen Salih Hama & Muhammad Waris & Rana Tahir Naveed, 2024. "Moderating role of political stability and economic policy uncertainty between country governance practice and stock market performance. A comparative analysis of Pakistan and Kurdistan Region of Iraq," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 19(4), pages 1-16, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0301698
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0301698
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0301698
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0301698&type=printable
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1371/journal.pone.0301698?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Anwar Shah, 2007. "Performance Accountability and Combating Corruption," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 6732.
    2. Tobin Im & Youngmi Choi, 2018. "Erratum to: Rethinking National Competitiveness: A Critical Assessment of Governmental Capacity Measures," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 137(2), pages 829-829, June.
    3. Myles E. Mangram, 2013. "A Simplified Perspective Of The Markowitz Portfolio Theory," Global Journal of Business Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 7(1), pages 59-70.
    4. Costantiello, Alberto & Leogrande, Angelo, 2023. "The Regulatory Quality and ESG Model at World Level," MPRA Paper 116663, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Tobin Im & Youngmi Choi, 2018. "Rethinking National Competitiveness: A Critical Assessment of Governmental Capacity Measures," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 135(2), pages 515-532, January.
    6. Dogan, Eyup & Majeed, Muhammad Tariq & Luni, Tania, 2021. "Analyzing the impacts of geopolitical risk and economic uncertainty on natural resources rents," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    7. Zhao, Zhao & Wen, Huwei & Li, Ke, 2021. "Identifying bubbles and the contagion effect between oil and stock markets: New evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 780-788.
    8. MVK, Jagannath & Maitra, Debasish, 2023. "Do election cycles, political stability, and government effectiveness matter for the risk of banks? Evidence from Indian banks," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
    9. Kofi Kamasa & Linda Owusu & Grace Nkansah Asante, 2023. "Stock market growth in Ghana: Do financial sector reforms matter?," Cogent Business & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(1), pages 2180843-218, December.
    10. Bingyu Zhao & Wanping Yang & Jun Wen & Wei Zhang, 2022. "The Financial Market in China under the COVID-19," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(13), pages 3726-3738, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Qazi, Abroon, 2023. "Exploring Global Competitiveness Index 4.0 through the lens of country risk," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    2. Khan, Muhammad Salar, 2022. "Absorptive capacities and economic growth in low- and middle-income economies," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 156-188.
    3. Ranđelović Saša & Martinović Nikola, 2022. "National Competitiveness and Foreign Direct Investment in Emerging Europe," Economic Themes, Sciendo, vol. 60(1), pages 21-40, March.
    4. Muhammad Salar Khan, 2021. "Absorptive capacities and economic growth in low and middle income economies," Papers 2109.11550, arXiv.org.
    5. Zhang, Zhikai & Wang, Yudong & Xiao, Jihong & Zhang, Yaojie, 2023. "Not all geopolitical shocks are alike: Identifying price dynamics in the crude oil market under tensions," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    6. Jia, Lijun & Xu, Ruoyu & Wu, Jian & Song, Malin & Chen, Xueli, 2023. "Impacts of geopolitical risk and economic policy uncertainty on metal futures price volatility: Evidence from China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 87(PB).
    7. Umar, Muhammad & Su, Chi-Wei & Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona, 2021. "Driven by fundamentals or exploded by emotions: Detecting bubbles in oil prices," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    8. Fazekas,Mihály & Blum,Jurgen Rene, 2021. "Improving Public Procurement Outcomes : Review of Tools and the State of the Evidence Base," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9690, The World Bank.
    9. Hsiao, Cody Yu-Ling & Chiu, Yi-Bin, 2024. "Financial contagion and networks among the oil and BRICS stock markets during seven episodes of crisis events," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    10. Roy, Arup, 2024. "Impacts of economic development, globalization, and gross capital formation on natural resources rents: Evidence from India," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    11. Laimutė Urbšienė & Andrius Bugajevas & Marekas Pipiras, 2016. "The Impact Of Investment Horizon On The Return And Risk Of Investments In Securities In Lithuania," Organizations and Markets in Emerging Economies, Faculty of Economics, Vilnius University, vol. 7(2).
    12. Costantiello, Alberto & Leogrande, Angelo, 2023. "The Role of Political Stability in the Context of ESG Models at World Level," MPRA Paper 116887, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Syed, Qasim Raza & Durani, Farah & Kisswani, Khalid M. & Alola, Andrew Adewale & Siddiqui, Aaliyah & Anwar, Ahsan, 2024. "Testing natural resource curse hypothesis amidst geopolitical risk: Global evidence using novel Fourier augmented ARDL approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    14. Du, He & Zhang, Chunguang, 2024. "Economic policy uncertainty and natural resources commodity prices: A comparative analysis of pre- and post-pandemic quantile trends in China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    15. Emre BULUT & Ahmed İhsan ŞİMŞEK, 2023. "The Relationship Between the Stock Market Volatility, Liquidity, Exchange Rate Return, and Stock Return During the COVID-19 Period: The case of the BIST 100 Index," Bingol University Journal of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Bingol University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 7(1), pages 121-135, June.
    16. Angelo Leogrande & Alberto Costantiello, 2023. "The Labor Force Participation Rate in the Context of ESG Models at World Level," Working Papers hal-04114330, HAL.
    17. Yu, Zhichao & Farooq, Umar & Shukurullaevich, Nizomjon Khajimuratov & Alam, Mohammad Mahtab & Dai, Jiapeng, 2024. "How does inflation rate influence the resource utilization policy? New empirical evidence from OPEC countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    18. Esposti, Roberto, 2024. "Dating common commodity price and inflation shocks with alternative approaches," Bio-based and Applied Economics Journal, Italian Association of Agricultural and Applied Economics (AIEAA), vol. 13(2), July.
    19. Jalan, Akanksha & Matkovskyy, Roman & Potì, Valerio, 2022. "Shall the winning last? A study of recent bubbles and persistence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    20. Lindsey Carson & Mariana Mota Prado, 2014. "Mapping Corruption and its Institutional Determinants in Brazil," Global Development Institute Working Paper Series iriba_wp08, GDI, The University of Manchester.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0301698. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: plosone (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.