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Underlying Trends In Employmentoutput Equation: The Case Of Jordan



    (Department of Economics Hashemite University, Jordan)


    (Department of Economics Hashemite University, Jordan)


    (Department of Economics Hashemite University, Jordan)


The underlying employment trend (UET) is investigated in Jordanian economy over the period 1989- 2004 using structural time series model (STSM). This approach allows to modelling the trend in its stochastic form introduced by Harvey (1989). The results show that a stochastic trend is preferred to deterministic trend. In addition, the inclusion or exclusion of the conventional deterministic trend leads to overestimated output elasticity. Furthermore, the UET is found to be non-linear, down downward sloping.

Suggested Citation

  • Arqam Al-Rabbaie & Ahmad A. Alwaked & Yaseen Altarawneh, 2009. "Underlying Trends In Employmentoutput Equation: The Case Of Jordan," Perspectives of Innovation in Economics and Business (PIEB), Prague Development Center, vol. 3(3), pages 35-37.
  • Handle: RePEc:pdc:jrpieb:v:3:y:2009:i:3:p:35-37

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Harvey, A C, et al, 1986. "Stochastic Trends in Dynamic Regression Models: An Application to the Employment-Output Equations," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 96(384), pages 975-985, December.
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    More about this item


    Employment; stochastic trend; structural time series modelling;

    JEL classification:

    • J20 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - General


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