Estrategias Optimas De Cobertura En Presencia De Incertidumbre En Costos Y Cantidad
This paper discusses how to achieve the optimal hedging of a cash flow when facing price risk of the product the company sells, when we are also in the presence of cost and quantity uncertainty. We present an analytical solution to the optimal hedging strategy in the general case and in some particular situations. We also obtain an expression to measure the efficiency of this hedging strategy. We identify the key parameters affecting the optimal hedging strategy, which are the volatilities of the random variables considered and the correlation coefficients among them. Finally we figure out how those parameters affect the optimal hedging strategy when the random variables present log normal distributions.
Volume (Year): 8 (2005)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
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- Kerkvliet, Joe & Moffett, Michael H., 1991. "The Hedging of an Uncertain Future Foreign Currency Cash Flow," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(04), pages 565-578, December.
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- Castillo, Augusto & Lefort, Fernando, 2003. "Protección contra la exposición del tipo de cambio a largo plazo con contratos de futuros a corto plazo. El caso de los contratos forward en UF Chilenas/dólares," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, vol. 0(279), pages 423-456, julio-sep.
- Masahiro Kawai, 1983. "Spot and Futures Prices of Nonstorable Commodities Under Rational Expectations," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 98(2), pages 235-254.
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- Bhagwan Chowdhry, 1995. "Corporate Hedging of Exchange Risk When Foreign Currency Cash Flow Is Uncertain," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 41(6), pages 1083-1090, June.
- Rolfo, Jacques, 1980. "Optimal Hedging under Price and Quantity Uncertainty: The Case of a Cocoa Producer," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 88(1), pages 100-116, February.
- Anderson, Ronald W & Danthine, Jean-Pierre, 1983. "Hedger Diversity in Futures Markets," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 93(37), pages 370-389, June. Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)
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