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Why are recessions as deep as they are? The behaviour over time of the outflow from unemployment: a new perspective

  • Robert Dixon

    ()

    (University of Melbourne)

  • John Freebairn

    (University of Melbourne)

  • Guay Lim

    (University of Melbourne)

This paper addresses five related questions. What are the ‘stylised facts’ about the behaviour of flows into and out of unemployment and the Unemployment Rate in Australia, especially in recessions? Why does the number of persons flowing out of Unemployment rise in recessions? How does outflow behaviour affect the severity of recessions? What has been the history of the probability of any one unemployed person exiting unemployment and what is the elasticity of this probability with respect to the Unemployment Rate? What are the consequences of our findings for the likely future severity of recessions?

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Article provided by Bankwest Curtin Economics Centre (BCEC), Curtin Business School in its journal Australian Journal of Labour Economics.

Volume (Year): 6 (2003)
Issue (Month): 1 (March)
Pages: 37-64

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Handle: RePEc:ozl:journl:v:6:y:2003:i:1:p:37-64
Contact details of provider: Web page: http://business.curtin.edu.au/research/publications/journals/ajle/
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  1. William Foster, 1981. "Gross Flows in the Australian Labour Market A First Look," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 14(4), pages 57-64.
  2. Dixon, R., 2001. "Australian Labour Force Data: How Representative is the 'Population Represented by the Matched Sample'?," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 772, The University of Melbourne.
  3. Burda, Michael & Wyplosz, Charles, 1994. "Gross worker and job flows in Europe," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 38(6), pages 1287-1315, June.
  4. Dixon, R. & Lim, G.C. & Thomson, J., 2001. "Australian Gross Flows Data: The Labour Force Survey and the Size of the Population Represented by the Matched Sample," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 810, The University of Melbourne.
  5. Jeff Borland, 1990. "Unemployment in Australia," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 23(1), pages 41-51.
  6. Poterba, James M & Summers, Lawrence H, 1995. "Unemployment Benefits and Labor Market Transitions: A Multinomial Logit Model with Errors in Classification," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 77(2), pages 207-16, May.
  7. Burgess, Simon M., 1994. "Matching models and labour market flows," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 38(3-4), pages 809-816, April.
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