IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/oup/ereveh/v22y2018i1p53-72..html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Industrial growth in interwar Egypt: first estimates, new insights

Author

Listed:
  • Ulaş Karakoç

Abstract

Based on the first estimates of output growth, this article shows that Egyptian industrial output grew at an accelerating rate in the interwar period and the country joined the industrial catch-up club after the Great Depression. What characterized the industrial re-composition was the major shift from export-processing and home-demand oriented sectors to the import competing textiles. That was in turn driven by the combined forces of massive terms of trade shock, tariff protection and stagnant incomes. Crucially, the panel-data analysis of disaggregated growth patterns indicates that the effect of tariff protection on growth was much smaller than usually assumed in the historiography.

Suggested Citation

  • Ulaş Karakoç, 2018. "Industrial growth in interwar Egypt: first estimates, new insights," European Review of Economic History, European Historical Economics Society, vol. 22(1), pages 53-72.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:ereveh:v:22:y:2018:i:1:p:53-72.
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/ereh/hex013
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Eichengreen, Barry & Irwin, Douglas A., 2010. "The Slide to Protectionism in the Great Depression: Who Succumbed and Why?," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 70(4), pages 871-897, December.
    2. N. F. R. Crafts & C. K. Harley, 1992. "Output growth and the British industrial revolution: a restatement of the Crafts-Harley view," Economic History Review, Economic History Society, vol. 45(4), pages 703-730, November.
    3. Brent Hansen & Karim Nashashibi, 1975. "Appendixes to "Foreign Trade Regimes and Economic Development: Egypt"," NBER Chapters, in: Foreign Trade Regimes and Economic Development: Egypt, pages 317-350, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Davis, Joseph H. & Irwin, Douglas A., 2008. "The antebellum U.S. iron industry: Domestic production and foreign competition," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 45(3), pages 254-269, July.
    5. Agustín Bénétrix & Kevin O’Rourke & Jeffrey Williamson, 2015. "The Spread of Manufacturing to the Poor Periphery 1870–2007," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 26(1), pages 1-37, February.
    6. Eichengreen, Barry & Sachs, Jeffrey, 1985. "Exchange Rates and Economic Recovery in the 1930s," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 45(4), pages 925-946, December.
    7. Irwin, Douglas A. & Temin, Peter, 2001. "The Antebellum Tariff On Cotton Textiles Revisited," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 61(3), pages 777-798, September.
    8. Fenoaltea, Stefano, 2003. "Notes on the Rate of Industrial Growth in Italy, 1861–1913," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 63(3), pages 695-735, September.
    9. Brent Hansen & Karim Nashashibi, 1975. "Foreign Trade Regimes and Economic Development: Egypt," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number hans75-1, March.
    10. Feinstein, Charles H. & Temin, Peter & Toniolo, Gianni, 2008. "The World Economy between the World Wars," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780195307559.
    11. Harley, C. Knick, 1982. "British Industrialization Before 1841: Evidence of Slower Growth During the Industrial Revolution," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 42(2), pages 267-289, June.
    12. Laura Panza & Jeffrey G. Williamson, 2015. "Did Muhammad Ali foster industrialization in early nineteenth-century Egypt?," Economic History Review, Economic History Society, vol. 68(1), pages 79-100, February.
    13. Issawi, Charles, 1961. "Egypt Since 1800: A Study in Lop-sided Development," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 21(1), pages 1-25, March.
    14. Grossman, Gene M., 1986. "Imports as a cause of injury: The case of the U.S. steel industry," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 20(3-4), pages 201-223, May.
    15. Stefano Fenoaltea, 2010. "The reconstruction of historical national accounts: the case of Italy," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 63(252), pages 77-96.
    16. Brent Hansen & Karim Nashashibi, 1975. "Introduction to "Foreign Trade Regimes and Economic Development: Egypt"," NBER Chapters, in: Foreign Trade Regimes and Economic Development: Egypt, pages -5--1, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    17. Campa, José Manuel, 1990. "Exchange Rates and Economic Recovery in the 1930s: An Extension to Lation America," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 50(03), pages 677-682, September.
    18. Stefano Fenoaltea, 2001. "The Growth of Italy's Cotton Industry, 1861-1913: a Statistical Reconstruction," Rivista di storia economica, Società editrice il Mulino, issue 2, pages 139-172.
    19. Stefano Fenoaltea, 2000. "The Growth of Italy's Wool Industry, 1861-1913: A Statistical Reconstruction," Rivista di storia economica, Società editrice il Mulino, issue 2, pages 119-146.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Laura Panza & Ulaş Karakoç, 2021. "Overcoming the Egyptian cotton crisis in the interwar period: the role of irrigation, drainage, new seeds, and access to credit," Economic History Review, Economic History Society, vol. 74(1), pages 60-86, February.
    2. Panza, Laura, 2020. "From a common empire to colonial rule: commodity market disintegration in the Near East," CEPR Discussion Papers 15434, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Fenoaltea, Stefano, 2017. "The Growth of the Italian Economy, 1861-1913: Revised Second-Generation Production-Side Estimates," MPRA Paper 83508, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Nicholas Crafts & Peter Fearon, 2010. "Lessons from the 1930s Great Depression," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 26(3), pages 285-317, Autumn.
    3. Mitchener, Kris James & Wandschneider, Kirsten, 2013. "Capital Controls and Recovery from the Financial Crisis of the 1930s," CAGE Online Working Paper Series 132, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE).
    4. Sylvia, Lane & Benito, Carlos & Berninsone, Rosa Maria, 1981. "Food Consumption in Rural Egypt Bibliography," Working Papers 232848, University of California, Davis, Agricultural Development Systems: Egypt Project.
    5. Albers, Thilo Nils Hendrik, 2018. "The prelude and global impact of the Great Depression: Evidence from a new macroeconomic dataset," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 150-163.
    6. Mitchener, Kris James & Wandschneider, Kirsten, 2015. "Capital controls and recovery from the financial crisis of the 1930s," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(2), pages 188-201.
    7. Erzan R., 1986. "External account, growth and employment in Egypt and Turkey: historical review and prospects," ILO Working Papers 992485223402676, International Labour Organization.
    8. Fenoaltea, Stefano, 2018. "The Growth of the Italian Economy, 1861-1913: Revised Second-Generation Expenditure-Side Estimates," MPRA Paper 88016, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Stefano Fenoaltea, 2014. "The measurement of production movements: lessons from the engineering industry in Italy, 1861-1913," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 400, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
    10. Fitch, James B. & Khedr, Hassan A. & Whittington, Dale, 1981. "The Economic Efficiency of Water Use in Egyptian Agriculture: Opening Round of a Debate," 1981 Occasional Paper Series No. 2 197135, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    11. Panza, Laura, 2020. "From a common empire to colonial rule: commodity market disintegration in the Near East," CEPR Discussion Papers 15434, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    12. repec:ags:ucdegw:232848 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Klein, Alexander & Otsuy, Keisuke, 2013. "Efficiency, Distortions and Factor Utilization during the Interwar Period," CAGE Online Working Paper Series 147, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE).
    14. Christodoulaki, Olga, 1999. "Industrial growth revisited: manufacturing output in Greece during the interwar period," Economic History Working Papers 22386, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History.
    15. Fenoaltea, Stefano, 2015. "The measurement of production movements: Lessons from the general engineering industry in Italy, 1861–1913," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 19-37.
    16. Alex Klein & Keisuke Otsu, 2013. "Efficiency, Distortions and Factor Utilization during the Interwar Period," Studies in Economics 1317, School of Economics, University of Kent.
    17. A. Agwah, 1978. "Import Distribution, Export Expansion and Consumption Liberalization: The Case of Egypt," Development and Change, International Institute of Social Studies, vol. 9(2), pages 299-329, April.
    18. Stainer, T.F., 1987. "Decline of the Intensive Sector of Nothern Ireland Agriculture: A Regional Case Study of the Effects of EC Policies," 1987 Occasional Paper Series No. 4 197445, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    19. Jeffrey D. Vitale & Hamady Djourra & Aminata Sidibé, 2009. "Estimating the supply response of cotton and cereal crops in smallholder production systems: recent evidence from Mali," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 40(5), pages 519-533, September.
    20. repec:ilo:ilowps:248522 is not listed on IDEAS
    21. Seán Kenny & Jason Lennard & Kevin Hjortshøj O’Rourke, 2020. "An annual index of Irish industrial production, 1800-1921," Oxford Economic and Social History Working Papers _185, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    22. Robert C. Allen, 2005. "Capital Accumulation, Technological Change, and the Distribution of Income during the British Industrial Revolution," Economics Series Working Papers 239, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:oup:ereveh:v:22:y:2018:i:1:p:53-72.. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Oxford University Press (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://academic.oup.com/ereh .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.