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The International Price Transmission in Stock Index Futures Markets

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  • Jian Yang
  • David A. Bessler

Abstract

This study explores dynamic price relationships among nine major stock index futures markets, combining an error-correction model with directed acyclic graph (DAG) analysis. DAG-based innovation accounting results show that the Japanese market is isolated from other major stock index futures markets. The United States and the United Kingdom appear to share leadership roles in stock index futures markets. The UK and German markets rather than the U.S. exert significant influences on most European markets, which indicates a pattern of regional integration in Europe. Innovation accounting results based on widely used Choleski decomposition are found to be seriously misleading. (JEL G15, C32) Copyright 2004, Oxford University Press.

Suggested Citation

  • Jian Yang & David A. Bessler, 2004. "The International Price Transmission in Stock Index Futures Markets," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 42(3), pages 370-386, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:ecinqu:v:42:y:2004:i:3:p:370-386
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Angelos Kanas, 2009. "Regime switching in stock index and futures markets: a note on the NIKKEI evidence," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(4), pages 394-399.
    2. Wang, Zijun & Yang, Jian & Li, Qi, 2007. "Interest rate linkages in the Eurocurrency market: Contemporaneous and out-of-sample Granger causality tests," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, pages 86-103.
    3. Selva Demiralp & Kevin Hoover & Stephen Perez, 2014. "Still puzzling: evaluating the price puzzle in an empirically identified structural vector autoregression," Empirical Economics, Springer, pages 701-731.
    4. Dharmasena, Senarath & Fang, Lu & Bessler, David A. & Jing, Wang, 2014. "Price Discovery of World and China Vegetable Oil Markets and Causality with Non-Gaussian Innovations," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 169781, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    5. Jian Yang & Hui Guo & Zijun Wang, 2004. "International transmission of inflation among G-7 countries: a data-determined VAR analysis," Working Papers 2004-028, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    6. Xu, Xiaojie, 2014. "Causality and Price Discovery in U.S. Corn Markets: An Application of Error Correction Modeling and Directed Acyclic Graphs," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 169806, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    7. Angelos Kanas, 2008. "Modeling regime transition in stock index futures markets and forecasting implications," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(8), pages 649-669.
    8. repec:rss:jnljms:v2i2p2 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Xiaojie Xu, 2017. "Contemporaneous causal orderings of US corn cash prices through directed acyclic graphs," Empirical Economics, Springer, pages 731-758.
    10. Yang, Jian & Bessler, David A., 2008. "Contagion around the October 1987 stock market crash," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, pages 291-310.
    11. Yang, Jian & Guo, Hui & Wang, Zijun, 2006. "International transmission of inflation among G-7 countries: A data-determined VAR analysis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(10), pages 2681-2700, October.
    12. Kung, Ling-Ming & Yu, Shang-Wu, 2008. "Prediction of index futures returns and the analysis of financial spillovers--A comparison between GARCH and the grey theorem," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, pages 1184-1200.
    13. Chatterjee, Susmita & Bagchi, Bhaskar & Dandapat, Dhruba Ranjan, 2016. "Oil Price Shock and Effects on Stock Markets of Emerging Economies," MPRA Paper 75883, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Özen Ercan & Letife Özdemir & Grima Simon & Bezzina Frank, 2014. "Investigating Causality Effects in Return Volatility among Five Major Futures Markets in European Countries with a Mediterranean Connection," Journal of Financial Management, Markets and Institutions, Società editrice il Mulino, issue 2, pages 207-220, December.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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