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Regime switching in stock index and futures markets: a note on the NIKKEI evidence


  • Angelos Kanas


Using a time-varying regime-switching vector error correction approach, we find strong evidence that the NIKKEI stock index cash and futures prices are jointly characterized by regime switching, which is time-varying and dependent upon the basis, the interest rate, the volatility of the cash index, and the US futures market. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

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  • Angelos Kanas, 2009. "Regime switching in stock index and futures markets: a note on the NIKKEI evidence," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(4), pages 394-399.
  • Handle: RePEc:ijf:ijfiec:v:14:y:2009:i:4:p:394-399 DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.390

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. French, Kenneth R., 1980. "Stock returns and the weekend effect," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 8(1), pages 55-69, March.
    2. Vicente Meneu & Hipòlit Torró, 2003. "Asymmetric covariance in spot‐futures markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(11), pages 1019-1046, November.
    3. Alizadeh, Amir H. & Nomikos, Nikos K. & Pouliasis, Panos K., 2008. "A Markov regime switching approach for hedging energy commodities," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(9), pages 1970-1983, September.
    4. Jian Yang & David A. Bessler, 2004. "The International Price Transmission in Stock Index Futures Markets," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 42(3), pages 370-386, July.
    5. Fama, Eugene F & French, Kenneth R, 1987. "Commodity Futures Prices: Some Evidence on Forecast Power, Premiums,and the Theory of Storage," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 60(1), pages 55-73, January.
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