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The Performance of Agricultural Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans

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  • Joao Martines-Filho

Abstract

The purpose of this article is to evaluate the performance of market advisory services for the 1995–2003 corn and soybean crops. A new database from the Agricultural Market Advisory Services (AgMAS) Project is used in the evaluation. This database should not be subject to survivorship and hindsight biases. Overall, the results provide little evidence that advisory services as a group outperform market benchmarks, particularly after considering risk. The evidence is more positive versus the farmer benchmarks, even after taking risk into account. Results also suggest that it is difficult to predict the pricing performance of advisory services across crop-years. Copyright 2006, Oxford University Press.

Suggested Citation

  • Joao Martines-Filho, 2006. "The Performance of Agricultural Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 88(1), pages 162-181.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:ajagec:v:88:y:2006:i:1:p:162-181
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/j.1467-8276.2006.00845.x
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    1. Colino, Evelyn V. & Cabrini, Silvina M. & Aulerich, Nicole M. & Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Merrin, Robert P. & Shi, Wei & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes, 2006. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Soybeans over 2002-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37485, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    2. Li, Xin & Paulson, Nicholas, 2014. "Is Farm Management Skill Persistent?," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 170170, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    3. Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Good, Darrel L., 2003. "The Pricing Performance Of Market Advisory Services In Corn And Soybeans Over 1995-2001: A Non-Technical Summary," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14770, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    4. Dietz, Sarah N. & Aulerich, Nicole M. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2009. "The Marketing Performance of Illinois and Kansas Wheat Farmers," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 41(01), pages 1-15, April.
    5. Cunningham, Lewis T., III & Brorsen, B. Wade & Anderson, Kim B., 2004. "Explaining Differences In Prices Received By Farmers: Testing Theory Based On Actual Farmer Transactions," 2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO 20275, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    6. Franken, Jason R.V. & Garcia, Philip & Irwin, Scott H., 2006. "Do Interest Rates Explain Disaggregate Commodity Price Growth?," 2006 Annual meeting, July 23-26, Long Beach, CA 21319, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    7. Zhang, Tong & Brorsen, B. Wade, 2006. "Heterogeneity in Producer's Marketing Strategy," 2006 Annual Meeting, February 5-8, 2006, Orlando, Florida 35299, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    8. Li, Xi & Paulson, Nicholas & Schnitkey, Gary, 2015. "Is Farm Management Skill Persistent?," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 212047, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    9. Jacobs, Keri & Li, Ziran & Hayes, Dermot, "undated". "Price responses in forward contracting: do we limit the upside and expose the downside?," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235539, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    10. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Batts, Ryan M., 2006. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37513, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    11. Isengildina, Olga & Pennings, Joost M.E. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2004. "Crop Farmers’ Use of Market Advisory Services," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37489, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    12. Schulze, Birgit, 2011. "Dynamic Markets – Dynamic Relationships: The Example of Grain Marketing in Germany," 2011 International European Forum, February 14-18, 2011, Innsbruck-Igls, Austria 122001, International European Forum on System Dynamics and Innovation in Food Networks.
    13. Silvina M. Cabrini & Scott H. Irwin & Darrel L. Good, 2007. "Style and Performance of Agricultural Market Advisory Services," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 89(3), pages 607-623.
    14. Batts, Ryan M. & Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2009. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Wheat Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183426, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    15. Mattos, Fabio & Brooks, Kathleen, 2014. "Marketing Strategies for Soybeans in 1997-2012: Performance Persistence and Risk-return Tradeoffs," 2014 Conference, April 21-22, 2014, St. Louis, Missouri 285822, NCR-134/ NCCC-134 Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    16. Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Good, Darrel L., 2003. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2001," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37510, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    17. Carl R. Zulauf & Gary Schnitkey & Carl T. Norden & Erick Davidson, 2008. "Price and Profit: Investigating a Conundrum," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 30(2), pages 352-359.
    18. Silvina M. Cabrini & Brian G. Stark & Hayri Önal & Scott H. Irwin & Darrel L. Good & João Martines-Filho, 2004. "Efficiency Analysis of Agricultural Market Advisory Services: A Nonlinear Mixed-Integer Programming Approach," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 6(3), pages 237-252, December.
    19. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, . "The New Era of Crop Prices: A 15-Year Review," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 13(176).
    20. Webber, Ricky L. & Batts, Ryan M. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., "undated". "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Hogs Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183429, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    21. Klumpp, Joni M. & Brorsen, B. Wade & Anderson, Kim B., 2005. "The Impact of Marketing Strategy Information on the Producer's Selling Decision," 2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri 19036, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    22. Colino, Evelyn V. & Cabrini, Silvina M. & Aulerich, Nicole M. & Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Merrin, Robert P. & Shi, Wei & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes, 2006. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Corn over 2002-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37484, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    23. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Hagedorn, Lewis A., 2005. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans over 1995-2003," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14775, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

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