IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nat/natcom/v13y2022i1d10.1038_s41467-022-32422-w.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Impedance-based forecasting of lithium-ion battery performance amid uneven usage

Author

Listed:
  • Penelope K. Jones

    (University of Cambridge
    The Alan Turing Institute)

  • Ulrich Stimming

    (Chemistry, School of Natural and Environmental Sciences, Newcastle University)

  • Alpha A. Lee

    (University of Cambridge)

Abstract

Accurate forecasting of lithium-ion battery performance is essential for easing consumer concerns about the safety and reliability of electric vehicles. Most research on battery health prognostics focuses on the research and development setting where cells are subjected to the same usage patterns. However, in practical operation, there is great variability in use across cells and cycles, thus making forecasting challenging. To address this challenge, here we propose a combination of electrochemical impedance spectroscopy measurements with probabilistic machine learning methods. Making use of a dataset of 88 commercial lithium-ion coin cells generated via multistage charging and discharging (with currents randomly changed between cycles), we show that future discharge capacities can be predicted with calibrated uncertainties, given the future cycling protocol and a single electrochemical impedance spectroscopy measurement made immediately before charging, and without any knowledge of usage history. The results are robust to cell manufacturer, the distribution of cycling protocols, and temperature. The research outcome also suggests that battery health is better quantified by a multidimensional vector rather than a scalar state of health.

Suggested Citation

  • Penelope K. Jones & Ulrich Stimming & Alpha A. Lee, 2022. "Impedance-based forecasting of lithium-ion battery performance amid uneven usage," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-9, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:13:y:2022:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-022-32422-w
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-32422-w
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-32422-w
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1038/s41467-022-32422-w?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. de Hoog, Joris & Timmermans, Jean-Marc & Ioan-Stroe, Daniel & Swierczynski, Maciej & Jaguemont, Joris & Goutam, Shovon & Omar, Noshin & Van Mierlo, Joeri & Van Den Bossche, Peter, 2017. "Combined cycling and calendar capacity fade modeling of a Nickel-Manganese-Cobalt Oxide Cell with real-life profile validation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 200(C), pages 47-61.
    2. Yunwei Zhang & Qiaochu Tang & Yao Zhang & Jiabin Wang & Ulrich Stimming & Alpha A. Lee, 2020. "Identifying degradation patterns of lithium ion batteries from impedance spectroscopy using machine learning," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-6, December.
    3. Pan, Haihong & Lü, Zhiqiang & Wang, Huimin & Wei, Haiyan & Chen, Lin, 2018. "Novel battery state-of-health online estimation method using multiple health indicators and an extreme learning machine," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 466-477.
    4. Kristen A. Severson & Peter M. Attia & Norman Jin & Nicholas Perkins & Benben Jiang & Zi Yang & Michael H. Chen & Muratahan Aykol & Patrick K. Herring & Dimitrios Fraggedakis & Martin Z. Bazant & Step, 2019. "Data-driven prediction of battery cycle life before capacity degradation," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 4(5), pages 383-391, May.
    5. Peter M. Attia & Aditya Grover & Norman Jin & Kristen A. Severson & Todor M. Markov & Yang-Hung Liao & Michael H. Chen & Bryan Cheong & Nicholas Perkins & Zi Yang & Patrick K. Herring & Muratahan Ayko, 2020. "Closed-loop optimization of fast-charging protocols for batteries with machine learning," Nature, Nature, vol. 578(7795), pages 397-402, February.
    6. Berecibar, M. & Gandiaga, I. & Villarreal, I. & Omar, N. & Van Mierlo, J. & Van den Bossche, P., 2016. "Critical review of state of health estimation methods of Li-ion batteries for real applications," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 572-587.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Wang, Huan & Li, Yan-Fu & Zhang, Ying, 2023. "Bioinspired spiking spatiotemporal attention framework for lithium-ion batteries state-of-health estimation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    2. He, Rong & He, Yongling & Xie, Wenlong & Guo, Bin & Yang, Shichun, 2023. "Comparative analysis for commercial li-ion batteries degradation using the distribution of relaxation time method based on electrochemical impedance spectroscopy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PD).
    3. Shengyu Tao & Haizhou Liu & Chongbo Sun & Haocheng Ji & Guanjun Ji & Zhiyuan Han & Runhua Gao & Jun Ma & Ruifei Ma & Yuou Chen & Shiyi Fu & Yu Wang & Yaojie Sun & Yu Rong & Xuan Zhang & Guangmin Zhou , 2023. "Collaborative and privacy-preserving retired battery sorting for profitable direct recycling via federated machine learning," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-14, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Li, Yi & Liu, Kailong & Foley, Aoife M. & Zülke, Alana & Berecibar, Maitane & Nanini-Maury, Elise & Van Mierlo, Joeri & Hoster, Harry E., 2019. "Data-driven health estimation and lifetime prediction of lithium-ion batteries: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 1-1.
    2. Rauf, Huzaifa & Khalid, Muhammad & Arshad, Naveed, 2022. "Machine learning in state of health and remaining useful life estimation: Theoretical and technological development in battery degradation modelling," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    3. Li, Guanzheng & Li, Bin & Li, Chao & Wang, Shuai, 2023. "State-of-health rapid estimation for lithium-ion battery based on an interpretable stacking ensemble model with short-term voltage profiles," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PE).
    4. Li, Alan G. & West, Alan C. & Preindl, Matthias, 2022. "Towards unified machine learning characterization of lithium-ion battery degradation across multiple levels: A critical review," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 316(C).
    5. Jiangong Zhu & Yixiu Wang & Yuan Huang & R. Bhushan Gopaluni & Yankai Cao & Michael Heere & Martin J. Mühlbauer & Liuda Mereacre & Haifeng Dai & Xinhua Liu & Anatoliy Senyshyn & Xuezhe Wei & Michael K, 2022. "Data-driven capacity estimation of commercial lithium-ion batteries from voltage relaxation," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-10, December.
    6. Shengyu Tao & Haizhou Liu & Chongbo Sun & Haocheng Ji & Guanjun Ji & Zhiyuan Han & Runhua Gao & Jun Ma & Ruifei Ma & Yuou Chen & Shiyi Fu & Yu Wang & Yaojie Sun & Yu Rong & Xuan Zhang & Guangmin Zhou , 2023. "Collaborative and privacy-preserving retired battery sorting for profitable direct recycling via federated machine learning," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-14, December.
    7. Zhang, Jianyu & Lu, Wei, 2022. "Sparse data machine learning for battery health estimation and optimal design incorporating material characteristics," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 307(C).
    8. Matthieu Dubarry & David Beck, 2021. "Analysis of Synthetic Voltage vs. Capacity Datasets for Big Data Li-ion Diagnosis and Prognosis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-24, April.
    9. Ma’d El-Dalahmeh & Maher Al-Greer & Mo’ath El-Dalahmeh & Michael Short, 2020. "Time-Frequency Image Analysis and Transfer Learning for Capacity Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-19, October.
    10. Fan, Guodong & Zhang, Xi, 2023. "Battery capacity estimation using 10-second relaxation voltage and a convolutional neural network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 330(PA).
    11. Wang, Huan & Li, Yan-Fu & Zhang, Ying, 2023. "Bioinspired spiking spatiotemporal attention framework for lithium-ion batteries state-of-health estimation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    12. Shahjalal, Mohammad & Roy, Probir Kumar & Shams, Tamanna & Fly, Ashley & Chowdhury, Jahedul Islam & Ahmed, Md. Rishad & Liu, Kailong, 2022. "A review on second-life of Li-ion batteries: prospects, challenges, and issues," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    13. Hsu, Chia-Wei & Xiong, Rui & Chen, Nan-Yow & Li, Ju & Tsou, Nien-Ti, 2022. "Deep neural network battery life and voltage prediction by using data of one cycle only," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(PB).
    14. Singh, Karanjot & Tjahjowidodo, Tegoeh & Boulon, Loïc & Feroskhan, Mir, 2022. "Framework for measurement of battery state-of-health (resistance) integrating overpotential effects and entropy changes using energy equilibrium," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PA).
    15. Kong, Jin-zhen & Yang, Fangfang & Zhang, Xi & Pan, Ershun & Peng, Zhike & Wang, Dong, 2021. "Voltage-temperature health feature extraction to improve prognostics and health management of lithium-ion batteries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
    16. Sui, Xin & He, Shan & Vilsen, Søren B. & Meng, Jinhao & Teodorescu, Remus & Stroe, Daniel-Ioan, 2021. "A review of non-probabilistic machine learning-based state of health estimation techniques for Lithium-ion battery," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 300(C).
    17. Deng, Yuanwang & Ying, Hejie & E, Jiaqiang & Zhu, Hao & Wei, Kexiang & Chen, Jingwei & Zhang, Feng & Liao, Gaoliang, 2019. "Feature parameter extraction and intelligent estimation of the State-of-Health of lithium-ion batteries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 91-102.
    18. Nagulapati, Vijay Mohan & Lee, Hyunjun & Jung, DaWoon & Brigljevic, Boris & Choi, Yunseok & Lim, Hankwon, 2021. "Capacity estimation of batteries: Influence of training dataset size and diversity on data driven prognostic models," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    19. Zhang, Ying & Li, Yan-Fu, 2022. "Prognostics and health management of Lithium-ion battery using deep learning methods: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    20. Khaleghi, Sahar & Hosen, Md Sazzad & Karimi, Danial & Behi, Hamidreza & Beheshti, S. Hamidreza & Van Mierlo, Joeri & Berecibar, Maitane, 2022. "Developing an online data-driven approach for prognostics and health management of lithium-ion batteries," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 308(C).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:13:y:2022:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-022-32422-w. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.nature.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.