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A részvénytartás spektrális kockázata hosszú távon
[On the spectral measure of risk in holding stocks in the long run]

Author

Listed:
  • Csóka, Péter

  • Bihary, Zsolt

  • Kondor, Gábor

Abstract

A hosszú távon befektetők (például nyugdíjalapok, céldátum-eszközalapok és fiatal befektetők) számára fontos kérdés, hogy mennyire kockázatos hosszú távon részvényt tartani. Tanulmányunk a spektrális kockázati mértékeket helyezi középpontba, amelyek a vizsgált kitettségek lehetséges veszteségeit úgy átlagolják, hogy a nagyobb veszteségek nagyobb súlyt kapnak. A kitettséget a kockázatmentes bankbetét és a részvényárfolyam különbségének választva, a spektrális kockázatra tekinthetünk úgy, mint annak a mértékére, hogy a befektető átlagosan mennyire fogja azt bánni, hogy kockázatmentes bankbetét helyett részvényekbe fektetett. Tanulmányunkban illusztráljuk Bihary és szerzőtársai [2018] eredményeit, amelyek analitikusan megmutatták, hogy a részvénytartás spektrális kockázata kellően hosszú távon csökken, sőt negatív lesz. Ugyanakkor numerikusan azt tapasztaljuk, hogy az elviselhető kockázathoz legalább száz évet kell várnunk.* Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) kód: G11.

Suggested Citation

  • Csóka, Péter & Bihary, Zsolt & Kondor, Gábor, 2018. "A részvénytartás spektrális kockázata hosszú távon [On the spectral measure of risk in holding stocks in the long run]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(7), pages 687-700.
    • Handle: RePEc:ksa:szemle:1782
    DOI: 10.18414/KSZ.2018.7-8.687
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

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