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Exchange Rate Flexibility: How Should We Measure It?

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  • Michael Bleaney

    (University of Nottingham)

  • Mo Tian

    (University of Nottingham)

Abstract

This paper first examines some recent exchange rate classification schemes. There is little evidence of a trend towards greater agreement between schemes. There is a probability of between 16 and 28% that a peg in one classification scheme is coded as a float in a different scheme, or vice versa. This probability is much smaller for the tightest forms of peg and the most volatile floats. Continuous indices of exchange rate flexibility are analysed and shown to have significant potential, despite the lack of interest in them shown in previous research.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael Bleaney & Mo Tian, 2020. "Exchange Rate Flexibility: How Should We Measure It?," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 31(4), pages 881-900, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:kap:openec:v:31:y:2020:i:4:d:10.1007_s11079-019-09577-z
    DOI: 10.1007/s11079-019-09577-z
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Michael Bleaney & Mo Tian & Lin Yin, 2016. "Global Trends in the Choice of Exchange Rate Regime," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 27(1), pages 71-85, February.
    2. Maurice Obstfeld & Jay C. Shambaugh & Alan M. Taylor, 2010. "Financial Stability, the Trilemma, and International Reserves," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 2(2), pages 57-94, April.
    3. Jeffrey Frankel, 2021. "Systematic Managed Floating," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Steven J Davis & Edward S Robinson & Bernard Yeung (ed.), THE ASIAN MONETARY POLICY FORUM Insights for Central Banking, chapter 5, pages 160-221, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    4. Ethan Ilzetzki & Carmen M Reinhart & Kenneth S Rogoff, 2019. "Exchange Arrangements Entering the Twenty-First Century: Which Anchor will Hold?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 134(2), pages 599-646.
    5. Barry Eichengreen & Raul Razo‐Garcia, 2013. "How Reliable Are De Facto Exchange Rate Regime Classifications?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 18(3), pages 216-239, July.
    6. Andrew K. Rose, 2011. "Exchange Rate Regimes in the Modern Era : Fixed, Floating, and Flaky," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 49(3), pages 652-672, September.
    7. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2004. "The Modern History of Exchange Rate Arrangements: A Reinterpretation," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 119(1), pages 1-48.
    8. Michael Bleaney & Mo Tian, 2020. "Exchange Rate Flexibility: How Should We Measure It?," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 31(4), pages 881-900, September.
    9. Tavlas, George & Dellas, Harris & Stockman, Alan C., 2008. "The classification and performance of alternative exchange-rate systems," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 52(6), pages 941-963, August.
    10. Slavi T. Slavov, 2013. "De Jure versus De Facto Exchange Rate Regimes in Sub-Saharan Africa," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 22(5), pages 732-756, November.
    11. Klein, Michael W. & Shambaugh, Jay C., 2012. "Exchange Rate Regimes in the Modern Era," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 026251799x, December.
    12. Michael F. Bleaney & Mo Tian & Lin Yin, 2017. "De Facto Exchange Rate Regime Classifications: An Evaluation," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 28(2), pages 369-382, April.
    13. Levy-Yeyati, Eduardo & Sturzenegger, Federico, 2005. "Classifying exchange rate regimes: Deeds vs. words," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 49(6), pages 1603-1635, August.
    14. Michael Bleaney & Mo Tian, 2017. "Measuring exchange rate flexibility by regression methods," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 69(1), pages 301-319.
    15. Jay C. Shambaugh, 2004. "The Effect of Fixed Exchange Rates on Monetary Policy," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 119(1), pages 301-352.
    16. Ethan Ilzetzki & Carmen M Reinhart & Kenneth S Rogoff, 2019. "Exchange Arrangements Entering the Twenty-First Century: Which Anchor will Hold?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 134(2), pages 599-646.
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    1. Michael Bleaney & Mo Tian, 2020. "Exchange Rate Flexibility: How Should We Measure It?," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 31(4), pages 881-900, September.
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    3. Ni, Yinan & Barth, James R. & Sun, Yanfei, 2022. "On the dynamic capital structure of nations: Theory and empirics," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).

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    Keywords

    Exchange rates regimes; Inflation;

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