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Housing Prices in Tokyo: A Comparison of Hedonic and Repeat Sales Measures

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  • Shimizu Chihiro

    () (Associate Professor, The International School of Economics and Business Administration, Reitaku University, Hikarigaoka2-1-1, Kashiwa-city, Chiba 277-8686, Japan)

  • Nishimura Kiyohiko G.

    () (Deputy Governor, The Bank of Japan,NihonbashiHongokucho2- 1-1, Chuo-Ku, Tokyo 103-8660, Japan)

  • Watanabe Tsutomu

    () (Professor, Faculty of Economics, Hitotsubashi University, Naka 2-1, Kunitachi-city, Tokyo 186-8603, Japan)

Abstract

Do indexes of house prices behave differently depending on the estimation method? If so, to what extent? To address these questions, we use a unique dataset that we compiled from individual listings in a widely circulated real estate advertisement magazine. The dataset contains more than 470,000 listings of housing prices between 1986 and 2008, including the period of the housing bubble and its burst.We find that there exists a substantial discrepancy in terms of turning points between hedonic and repeat sales indexes, even though the hedonic index is adjusted for structural changes and the repeat sales index is adjusted in the way Case and Shiller suggested. Specifically, the repeat sales measure signals turning points later than the hedonic measure: for example, the hedonic measure of condominium prices bottomed out at the beginning of 2002, while the corresponding repeat sales measure exhibits a reversal only in the spring of 2004. This discrepancy cannot be fully removed even if we adjust the repeat sales index for depreciation.

Suggested Citation

  • Shimizu Chihiro & Nishimura Kiyohiko G. & Watanabe Tsutomu, 2010. "Housing Prices in Tokyo: A Comparison of Hedonic and Repeat Sales Measures," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 230(6), pages 792-813, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:jns:jbstat:v:230:y:2010:i:6:p:792-813
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ivar Ekeland & James J. Heckman & Lars Nesheim, 2004. "Identification and Estimation of Hedonic Models," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 112(S1), pages 60-109, February.
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    10. repec:dau:papers:123456789/6486 is not listed on IDEAS
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Takaaki Ohnishi & Takayuki Mizuno & Chihiro Shimizu & Tsutomu Watanabe, 2013. "Detecting Real Estate Bubbles: A New Approach Based on the Cross-Sectional Dispersion of Property Prices," CARF F-Series CARF-F-313, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
    2. Diewert, Erwin & Shimizu, Chihiro, 2015. "Residential Property Price Indices For Tokyo," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(08), pages 1659-1714, December.
    3. Robert Hill, 2013. "How Can One Tell When the Housing Market Is Out of Equilibrium?," ERES eres2013_59, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
    4. Erwin Diewert & Chihiro Shimizu, 2017. "Alternative Approaches to Commercial Property Price Indexes for Tokyo," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 63(3), pages 492-519, September.
    5. Takaaki Ohnishi & Takayuki Mizuno & Chihiro Shimizu & Tsutomu Watanabe, 2012. "Detecting Real Estate Bubbles: A New Approach Based on the Cross-Sectional Dispersion of Property Prices," UTokyo Price Project Working Paper Series 006, University of Tokyo, Graduate School of Economics, revised Apr 2013.
    6. Diewert, Erwin & Shimizu, Chihiro, 2017. "Alternative Land Price Indexes for Commercial Properties in Tokyo," HIT-REFINED Working Paper Series 75, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    7. Robert J. Hill & Alicia N. Rambaldi & Michael Scholz, 2018. "Higher Frequency Hedonic Property Price Indices: A State Space Approach," Graz Economics Papers 2018-04, University of Graz, Department of Economics.
    8. Shimizu, Chihiro & Nishimura, Kiyohiko G. & Watanabe, Tsutomu, 2016. "House prices at different stages of the buying/selling process," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 37-53.
    9. Diewert, W. Erwin & Nishimura , Kiyohiko & Shimizu, Chihiro & Watanabe, Tsutomu, 2014. "Residential Property Price Indexes for Japan: An Outline of the Japanese Official RPPI," Economics working papers erwin_diewert-2014-17, Vancouver School of Economics, revised 27 Mar 2014.
    10. Burnett-Isaacs,, Kate & Diewert, Erwin & Huang, Ning, 2017. "Alternative Approaches for Resale Housing Price Indexes," Microeconomics.ca working papers erwin_diewert-2017-6, Vancouver School of Economics, revised 08 May 2017.
    11. Mick Silver, 2016. "How to Better Measure Hedonic Residential Property Price Indexes," IMF Working Papers 16/213, International Monetary Fund.

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