IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/jis/ejistu/y2024i01id535.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Population Growth and GDP Per Capita Growth: Identifying the Causal Variable in 30 African Countries

Author

Listed:
  • ČERMÁKOVÁ Klára
  • MEC Michal

Abstract

­Within a wider framework of institutional factors of economic growth and the relationship between population growth and GDP growth, this article focuses on the population growth and GDP growth per capita for 30 countries in Africa betwe­en 1960 and 2020. We provide a comparative analysis of approaches to methodology and results obtained in the impact of population growth on GDP/pc growth discourse. By performing the Bootstrapped Panel-Granger Causality test, the estimation results show that half of the countries showed no causality and other half of countries showed different levels of significant causality. The most seen causality is the unidirectional causality from GDP growth per capita to population growth. In addition, unidirectional causality is observed from population growth to GDP growth per capita and bidirectional causality. Overall, the results add more evidence into the research of endogenous population growth theory, which implies that there is country-specific environment which determines the causality between these two variables.

Suggested Citation

  • ČERMÁKOVÁ Klára & MEC Michal, 2024. "Population Growth and GDP Per Capita Growth: Identifying the Causal Variable in 30 African Countries," European Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, Bucharest Economic Academy, issue 01, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:jis:ejistu:y:2024:i:01:id:535
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ejist.ro/files/pdf/535.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://ejist.ro/abstract/535/Population-Growth-and-GDP-Per-Capita-Growth-Identifying-the-Causal-Variable.html
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jorge Garza-Rodriguez & Cecilia I. Andrade-Velasco & Karen D. Martinez-Silva & Francisco D. Renteria-Rodriguez & Pedro A. Vallejo-Castillo, 2016. "The relationship between population growth and economic growth in Mexico," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 36(1), pages 97-107.
    2. A.F. Darrat & Y.K. Al-Yousif, 1999. "On the Long-Run Relationship between Population and Economic Growth: Some Time Series Evidence for Developing Countries," Eastern Economic Journal, Eastern Economic Association, vol. 25(3), pages 301-313, Summer.
    3. Fumitaka Furuoka, 2013. "Population and economic development in Indonesia: A revisit with new data and methods," Acta Oeconomica, Akadémiai Kiadó, Hungary, vol. 63(4), pages 451-467, December.
    4. Stanislav Dimitrov & Elroi Hadad, 2022. "Pension tracking system application: A new supervision challenge in the EU," International Journal of Economic Sciences, European Research Center, vol. 11(2), pages 48-57, November.
    5. James Heintz & Nancy Folbre, 2022. "Endogenous Growth, Population Dynamics, and Economic Structure: Long-Run Macroeconomics When Demography Matters," Feminist Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(3), pages 145-163, July.
    6. Fumitaka Furuoka & Qaiser Munir, 2011. "Can population growth contribute to economic development? New evidence from Singapore," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 31(4), pages 3226-3239.
    7. John Thornton, 2001. "Population Growth and Economic Growth: Long-Run Evidence from Latin America," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 68(2), pages 464-468, October.
    8. Jürg Niehans, 1963. "Economic Growth with Two Endogenous Factors," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 77(3), pages 349-371.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Fumitaka Furuoka, 2018. "Is population beneficial to economic growth? An empirical study of China," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 52(1), pages 209-225, January.
    2. Alvarez-Dias, Marcos & D'Hombres, Beatrice & Ghisetti, Claudia & Pontarollo, Nicola & Dijkstra, Lewis, 2018. "The Determinants of Population Growth: Literature review and empirical analysis," Working Papers 2018-10, Joint Research Centre, European Commission.
    3. Jorge Garza-Rodriguez & Cecilia I. Andrade-Velasco & Karen D. Martinez-Silva & Francisco D. Renteria-Rodriguez & Pedro A. Vallejo-Castillo, 2016. "The relationship between population growth and economic growth in Mexico," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 36(1), pages 97-107.
    4. Furuoka, Fumitaka, 2014. "Population and economic development in Sarawak, Malaysia," MPRA Paper 60636, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Tsangyao Chang & Hsiao-Ping Chu & Frederick W. Deale & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2017. "The relationship between population growth and standard-of-living growth over 1870–2013: evidence from a bootstrapped panel Granger causality test," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 44(1), pages 175-201, February.
    6. Tsangyao Chang & Hsiao-Ping Chu & Frederick W. Deale & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2014. "The Relationship between Population Growth and Economic Growth Over 1870-2013: Evidence from a Bootstrapped Panel-Granger Causality Test," Working Papers 201431, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Hasan, Mohammad S., 2010. "The long-run relationship between population and per capita income growth in China," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 355-372, May.
    8. Pekarčíková, Kateřina & Vaněk, Michal & Sousedíková, Radmila, 2022. "Determinants of economic growth: Panel data analysis of OPEC," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    9. Hajamini, Mehdi, 2015. "The non-linear effect of population growth and linear effect of age structure on per capita income: A threshold dynamic panel structural model," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 43-58.
    10. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-477 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. van de Klundert, T.C.M.J. & Smulders, J.A., 1991. "Reconstructing growth theory : A survey," Other publications TiSEM 19355c51-17eb-4d5d-aa66-b, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    12. Qing Pei & David D Zhang & Harry F Lee & Guodong Li, 2014. "Climate Change and Macro-Economic Cycles in Pre-Industrial Europe," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(2), pages 1-8, February.
    13. Salahodjaev, Raufhon, 2015. "Democracy and economic growth: the role of intelligence in cross-country regressions," MPRA Paper 65716, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 26 Apr 2015.
    14. Mark Setterfield, 2024. "Integrating the Social Reproduction of Labour into Macroeconomic Theory," Working Papers 2405, New School for Social Research, Department of Economics.
    15. Esther Stroe-Kunold & Joachim Werner, 2009. "A drunk and her dog: a spurious relation? Cointegration tests as instruments to detect spurious correlations between integrated time series," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 43(6), pages 913-940, November.
    16. Al Mamun, Md. & Sohag, Kazi & Hannan Mia, Md. Abdul & Salah Uddin, Gazi & Ozturk, Ilhan, 2014. "Regional differences in the dynamic linkage between CO2 emissions, sectoral output and economic growth," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 1-11.
    17. Thomas Gries & Wim Naudé, 2010. "Entrepreneurship and structural economic transformation," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 34(1), pages 13-29, January.
    18. Themba G. Chirwa & Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2019. "The nexus between key macroeconomic determinants and economic growth in Zambia: a dynamic multivariate Granger causality linkage," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(1), pages 301-327, July.
    19. ADESETE Ahmed Adefemi, 2018. "Economics of Nigeria and West Africa Population Growth: Panel ARDL Approach for West Africa," Asian Journal of Economic Modelling, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 6(3), pages 327-355, September.
    20. Mark Setterfield, 2023. "Post-Keynesian growth theory and the supply side: a feminist-structuralist approach," Working Papers 2302, New School for Social Research, Department of Economics.
    21. Fumitaka Furuoka & Qaiser Munir, 2011. "Can population growth contribute to economic development? New evidence from Singapore," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 31(4), pages 3226-3239.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    population growth; GDP growth per capita; Bootstrapped Panel-Granger Causality test; endogenous theory of population growth;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J01 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - General - - - Labor Economics: General
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:jis:ejistu:y:2024:i:01:id:535. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Alina Popescu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/frasero.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.