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Time-varying intercepts and equilibrium analysis: an extension of the dynamic almost ideal demand model

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  • Philippe J. Deschamps

    (Séminaire d'Économétrie, Université de Fribourg, Avenue de Beauregard 13, CH-1700 Fribourg, Switzerland)

Abstract

Demographic effects and user costs in demand systems have usually been modelled explicitly. A more robust approach is a state space formulation of the demand system, where time-varying intercepts account for the effects of unobservable variables. The author embeds such a system in a vector autoregressive distributed lag model, with a Bayesian hierarchical prior. The model is estimated by a Markov chain Monte Carlo method on samples involving quarterly US and UK data. In the US case, the results are compared with a previously published cointegration analysis of the same data. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Suggested Citation

  • Philippe J. Deschamps, 2003. "Time-varying intercepts and equilibrium analysis: an extension of the dynamic almost ideal demand model," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 18(2), pages 209-236.
  • Handle: RePEc:jae:japmet:v:18:y:2003:i:2:p:209-236
    DOI: 10.1002/jae.674
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Balcombe, Kelvin & Bailey, Alastair, 2006. "Bayesian inference of a smooth transition dynamic almost ideal model of food demand in the US," MPRA Paper 17305, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Mazzocchi, Mario & Lobb, Alexandra E., 2005. "A Latent-Variable Approach to Modelling Multiple and Resurgent Meat Scares in Italy," 2005 International Congress, August 23-27, 2005, Copenhagen, Denmark 24509, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    3. Deschamps, Philippe J., 2011. "Bayesian estimation of an extended local scale stochastic volatility model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 162(2), pages 369-382, June.
    4. Ripamonti, Alexandre, 2013. "Rational Valuation Formula (RVF) and Time Variability in Asset Rates of Return," MPRA Paper 79460, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Blazej Mazur, 2006. "Imposing Economic Restrictions in a VECM-form Demand System," Dynamic Econometric Models, Uniwersytet Mikolaja Kopernika, vol. 7, pages 269-280.
    6. Toshinobu Matsuda, 2007. "Linearizing the inverse quadratic almost ideal demand system," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(3), pages 381-396.
    7. SCHROYEN, Fred, 2011. "Attitudes towards income risk in the presence of quantity constraints," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2011020, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    8. Deschamps, Philippe J., 2011. "Bayesian estimation of an extended local scale stochastic volatility model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 162(2), pages 369-382, June.
    9. Mario Mazzocchi & Davide Delle Monache & Alexandra Lobb, 2006. "A structural time series approach to modelling multiple and resurgent meat scares in Italy," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(14), pages 1677-1688.

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