IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/jae/japmet/v13y1998i5p525-541.html

Semiparametric analysis of German East-West migration intentions: facts and theory

Author

Listed:
  • Michael C. Burda

    (Institut für Wirtschaftstheorie II, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Germany)

  • Wolfgang Härdle

    (Institut für Statistik und Ökonometrie, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Germany)

  • Marlene Müller

    (Institut für Statistik und Ökonometrie, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Germany)

  • Axel Werwatz

    (Institut für Statistik und Ökonometrie, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Germany)

Abstract

East-West migration in Germany peaked at the beginning of the 1990s although the average wage gap between Eastern and Western Germany continues to average about 25%. We analyse the propensity to migrate using microdata from the German Socioeconomic Panel. Fitting a parametric Generalized Linear Model (GLM) yields non-linear residual behavior. This finding is not compatible with classical Marshallian theory of migration and motivates the semiparametric analysis. We estimate a Generalized Partial Linear Model (GPLM) where some components of the index of explanatory variables enter non-parametrically. We find the estimate of the non-parametric influence in concordance with a number of alternative migration theories, including the recently proposed option-value-of-waiting theory. © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael C. Burda & Wolfgang Härdle & Marlene Müller & Axel Werwatz, 1998. "Semiparametric analysis of German East-West migration intentions: facts and theory," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 13(5), pages 525-541.
    • Handle: RePEc:jae:japmet:v:13:y:1998:i:5:p:525-541
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://qed.econ.queensu.ca:80/jae/1998-v13.5/
    File Function: Supporting data files and programs
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:jae:japmet:v:13:y:1998:i:5:p:525-541. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley-Blackwell Digital Licensing or Christopher F. Baum (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.interscience.wiley.com/jpages/0883-7252/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.