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Impact of Urban Form in the Yangtze River Delta of China on the Spatiotemporal Evolution of Carbon Emissions from Transportation

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  • Yanming Sun

    (School of Transportation, Shandong University of Science and Technology, Qingdao 266590, China
    International Cooperation Center of National Development and Reform Commission, Beijing 100038, China)

  • Baozhong Chen

    (School of Transportation, Shandong University of Science and Technology, Qingdao 266590, China)

  • Qingli Li

    (International Cooperation Center of National Development and Reform Commission, Beijing 100038, China)

Abstract

The impact of urban form on carbon emissions has become a crucial issue for sustainable socioeconomic development and the advancement of low-carbon cities. Transportation is a significant source of urban carbon emissions, highlighting the need for comprehensive research to aid China in achieving its carbon peak and neutrality goals. Currently, there is a lack of quantitative studies exploring the effects of urban form on transportation-related carbon emissions. This paper seeks to quantify the effect of urban form on the spatial and temporal patterns of transportation carbon emissions, utilizing panel data from 27 cities in the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) region of China, covering the years 2000 to 2020. First, CO 2 emissions from transportation are estimated following IPCC guidelines, with Moran’s I utilized to analyze spatial autocorrelation. Next, urban form indicators are quantified based on landscape ecology theory. Finally, econometric models are employed for regression analysis of the panel data. The findings reveal that urban complexity, compactness, and expansion influence transportation carbon emissions to varying degrees, with urban expansion and complexity associated with increased emissions, while compactness contributes to their reduction. This study offers theoretical support and a scientific basis for low-carbon urban spatial planning and development, underscoring the importance of urban form in emissions reduction strategies.

Suggested Citation

  • Yanming Sun & Baozhong Chen & Qingli Li, 2024. "Impact of Urban Form in the Yangtze River Delta of China on the Spatiotemporal Evolution of Carbon Emissions from Transportation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(22), pages 1-16, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:16:y:2024:i:22:p:9678-:d:1515419
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Yanming Sun & Guangzhen Zhang, 2024. "Analysis of the Measurement of Transportation Carbon Emissions and the Emission Reduction Path in the Yangtze River Economic Belt under the Background of “Dual Carbon” Goals," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(14), pages 1-20, July.
    2. Yanming Sun & Yile Yang & Shixian Liu & Qingli Li, 2023. "Research on Transportation Carbon Emission Peak Prediction and Judgment System in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(20), pages 1-17, October.
    3. Du, Limin & Wei, Chu & Cai, Shenghua, 2012. "Economic development and carbon dioxide emissions in China: Provincial panel data analysis," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 371-384.
    4. Al-mulali, Usama, 2012. "Factors affecting CO2 emission in the Middle East: A panel data analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 44(1), pages 564-569.
    5. Liu, Xiaochen & Sweeney, John, 2012. "Modelling the impact of urban form on household energy demand and related CO2 emissions in the Greater Dublin Region," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 359-369.
    6. Sheng Zheng & Yukuan Huang & Yu Sun, 2022. "Effects of Urban Form on Carbon Emissions in China: Implications for Low-Carbon Urban Planning," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-17, August.
    7. Fang, Chuanglin & Wang, Shaojian & Li, Guangdong, 2015. "Changing urban forms and carbon dioxide emissions in China: A case study of 30 provincial capital cities," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 519-531.
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    1. Yanming Sun & Jiale Liu & Qingli Li, 2025. "Spatial Evolution of Green Total Factor Carbon Productivity in the Transportation Sector and Its Energy-Driven Mechanisms," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(17), pages 1-24, August.

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