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Climate-Risk Assessment Framework for Airports under Extreme Precipitation Events: Application to Selected Italian Case Studies

Author

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  • Carmela De Vivo

    (Regional Models and Geo-Hydrological Impacts Division (REMHI), Fondazione Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC), 81100 Caserta, Italy
    Department of Science and Technology, University of Naples “Parthenope”, Centro Direzionale di Napoli—Isola C4, 80143 Naples, Italy)

  • Giuliana Barbato

    (Regional Models and Geo-Hydrological Impacts Division (REMHI), Fondazione Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC), 81100 Caserta, Italy)

  • Marta Ellena

    (Regional Models and Geo-Hydrological Impacts Division (REMHI), Fondazione Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC), 81100 Caserta, Italy)

  • Vincenzo Capozzi

    (Department of Science and Technology, University of Naples “Parthenope”, Centro Direzionale di Napoli—Isola C4, 80143 Naples, Italy)

  • Giorgio Budillon

    (Department of Science and Technology, University of Naples “Parthenope”, Centro Direzionale di Napoli—Isola C4, 80143 Naples, Italy)

  • Paola Mercogliano

    (Regional Models and Geo-Hydrological Impacts Division (REMHI), Fondazione Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC), 81100 Caserta, Italy)

Abstract

Extreme weather phenomena are increasing due to climate change and having a severe impact on critical infrastructure, including airports. In this context, conducting climate risk assessments is an essential step to implement appropriate adaptation strategies. In the present study, a climate-risk assessment framework is applied to evaluate the risk of extreme precipitation events for specific Italian airports: Malpensa, Bergamo, Linate, Fiumicino, Ciampino, Napoli, Catania, Palermo, and Cagliari. This analysis is based on the definition of risk as reported by Sixth Assessment Report of IPCC. The assessment of the climate hazard over the recent-past period (1981–2010) is evaluated through indicators developed from re-analysis data, using the Uncertainties in Ensemble of Regional Re-Analyses dataset are provided by Copernicus Climate Change Service. The expected climate variations are evaluated using an ensemble of high-resolution climate projections from the EURO-CORDEX initiative for the short- (2021–2050), medium- (2041–2070), and long-term future period (2071–2100), under RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5, and RCP 8.5 climate scenarios. The information related to exposure and vulnerability indicators are collected from official documents and website of selected airports, and are freely available. The final risk index provides elements allowing stakeholders to implement adaptation measures to increase their resilience.

Suggested Citation

  • Carmela De Vivo & Giuliana Barbato & Marta Ellena & Vincenzo Capozzi & Giorgio Budillon & Paola Mercogliano, 2023. "Climate-Risk Assessment Framework for Airports under Extreme Precipitation Events: Application to Selected Italian Case Studies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-23, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:15:y:2023:i:9:p:7300-:d:1134609
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Burbidge, Rachel, 2018. "Adapting aviation to a changing climate: Key priorities for action," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 167-174.
    2. J. Lelieveld & P. Hadjinicolaou & E. Kostopoulou & J. Chenoweth & M. Maayar & C. Giannakopoulos & C. Hannides & M. Lange & M. Tanarhte & E. Tyrlis & E. Xoplaki, 2012. "Climate change and impacts in the Eastern Mediterranean and the Middle East," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 114(3), pages 667-687, October.
    3. Mauro Francini & Lucia Chieffallo & Annunziata Palermo & Maria Francesca Viapiana, 2020. "A Method for the Definition of Local Vulnerability Domains to Climate Change and Relate Mapping. Two Case Studies in Southern Italy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(22), pages 1-26, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Barbara Rogo & José Garrido & Stefano Demartis, 2025. "The Italian Actuarial Climate Index: A National Implementation Within the Emerging European Framework," Risks, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-53, October.

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