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Simulation Analysis of Factors Affecting Energy Carbon Emissions in Fujian Province

Author

Listed:
  • Xianjin Lin

    (School of Management, Fujian University of Technology, Fuzhou 350118, China)

  • Xiaoyan Lin

    (School of Management, Fujian University of Technology, Fuzhou 350118, China)

  • Jun Zhang

    (School of Management, Fujian University of Technology, Fuzhou 350118, China)

  • Qionge He

    (School of Management, Fujian University of Technology, Fuzhou 350118, China)

  • Pengyu Yan

    (School of Management, Fujian University of Technology, Fuzhou 350118, China)

Abstract

China’s goal of reaching peak carbon by 2030 and carbon neutrality by 2060 has been a popular research topic in recent years. Carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals are solemn commitments made by the Chinese government to the international community. As a national ecological civilization demonstration area, Fujian province has incorporated peak carbon and carbon neutrality into its overall ecological construction plans. This paper uses the scalable stochastic environmental impact assessment model STIRPAT to quantitatively analyze the relationship between carbon emission intensity and economy, population, energy intensity, energy structure, and industrial structure in Fujian Province from 2001 to 2020, and it uses a Markov transition matrix to predict the ratio of energy structure in the next four years. On the basis of the above-mentioned research, combined with the provincial ecological planning outlined in the 14th Five-Year Plan of Fujian Province, three development modes (i.e., the general mode, the energy-saving mode, and the energy consumption mode) are proposed. Finally, according to the model, this paper predicts that the carbon intensity goal of 2025 can be achieved under the general and energy saving modes, while the carbon intensity goal cannot be reached under the energy consumption mode.

Suggested Citation

  • Xianjin Lin & Xiaoyan Lin & Jun Zhang & Qionge He & Pengyu Yan, 2022. "Simulation Analysis of Factors Affecting Energy Carbon Emissions in Fujian Province," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-10, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:21:p:13757-:d:951509
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. de Freitas, Luciano Charlita & Kaneko, Shinji, 2011. "Decomposing the decoupling of CO2 emissions and economic growth in Brazil," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(8), pages 1459-1469, June.
    2. Shi, Anqing, 2003. "The impact of population pressure on global carbon dioxide emissions, 1975-1996: evidence from pooled cross-country data," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(1), pages 29-42, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Qingquan Jiang & Jinhuang Lin & Qianqian Wei & Rui Zhang & Hongzhen Fu, 2023. "Demystifying the Economic Growth and CO 2 Nexus in Fujian’s Key Industries Based on Decoupling and LMDI Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-23, February.

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