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Integrated Stochastic Life Cycle Assessment and Techno-Economic Analysis for Shrub Willow Production in the Northeastern United States

Author

Listed:
  • Jenny Frank

    (Department of Sustainable Resources Management, State University of New York College of Environmental Science and Forestry, Syracuse, NY 13210, USA)

  • Obste Therasme

    (Department of Sustainable Resources Management, State University of New York College of Environmental Science and Forestry, Syracuse, NY 13210, USA)

  • Timothy A. Volk

    (Department of Sustainable Resources Management, State University of New York College of Environmental Science and Forestry, Syracuse, NY 13210, USA)

  • Tristan Brown

    (Department of Sustainable Resources Management, State University of New York College of Environmental Science and Forestry, Syracuse, NY 13210, USA)

  • Robert W. Malmsheimer

    (Department of Sustainable Resources Management, State University of New York College of Environmental Science and Forestry, Syracuse, NY 13210, USA)

  • Marie-Odile Fortier

    (Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering and Construction, University of Nevada, Las Vegas, NV 89154, USA)

  • Mark H. Eisenbies

    (Department of Sustainable Resources Management, State University of New York College of Environmental Science and Forestry, Syracuse, NY 13210, USA)

  • HakSoo Ha

    (Department of Sustainable Resources Management, State University of New York College of Environmental Science and Forestry, Syracuse, NY 13210, USA)

  • Justin Heavey

    (Department of Sustainable Resources Management, State University of New York College of Environmental Science and Forestry, Syracuse, NY 13210, USA)

Abstract

The refereed literature contains few studies that analyze life cycle assessment (LCA) and techno-economic analysis (TEA) methodologies together for lignocellulosic bioenergy systems, using a stochastic modeling approach. This study seeks to address this gap by developing an integrated framework to quantify the environmental and financial impacts of producing and delivering shrub willow in the Northeastern United States. This study analyses four different scenarios from a combination of two different initial land cover types (grassland, cropland) prior to willow establishment, and two harvesting conditions (leaf-on, leaf-off). Monte Carlo simulations were performed to quantify the uncertainty of the results based on a range of financial, logistical, and biophysical variable input parameters (e.g., land rental rates, transportation distance, biomass yield, etc.). Growing willow biomass on croplands resulted in net negative GHG emissions for both leaf on and leaf off scenarios for the baseline. The GHG emissions were lowest for the leaf-off harvest on cropland (−172.50 kg CO 2eq Mg −1 ); this scenario also had the lowest MSP ($76.41 Mg −1 ). The baseline grassland scenario with leaf-on harvest, results in the highest net GHG emissions (44.83 kg CO 2eq Mg −1 ) and greatest MSP ($92.97 Mg −1 ). The results of this analysis provide the bioenergy field and other interested stakeholders with both environmental and financial trade-offs of willow biomass to permit informed decisions about the future expansion of willow fields in the landscape, which have the potential to contribute to GHG reduction targets and conversion into fuels, energy, or bioproducts for carbon sequestration and financial benefits.

Suggested Citation

  • Jenny Frank & Obste Therasme & Timothy A. Volk & Tristan Brown & Robert W. Malmsheimer & Marie-Odile Fortier & Mark H. Eisenbies & HakSoo Ha & Justin Heavey, 2022. "Integrated Stochastic Life Cycle Assessment and Techno-Economic Analysis for Shrub Willow Production in the Northeastern United States," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-19, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:15:p:9007-:d:869353
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Yuxi Wang & Jingxin Wang & Xufeng Zhang & Shawn Grushecky, 2020. "Environmental and Economic Assessments and Uncertainties of Multiple Lignocellulosic Biomass Utilization for Bioenergy Products: Case Studies," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-20, November.
    2. Masum, Md Farhad Hossain & Dwivedi, Puneet & Anderson, William F., 2020. "Estimating unit production cost, carbon intensity, and carbon abatement cost of electricity generation from bioenergy feedstocks in Georgia, United States," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    3. John Sheehan & Andy Aden & Keith Paustian & Kendrick Killian & John Brenner & Marie Walsh & Richard Nelson, 2003. "Energy and Environmental Aspects of Using Corn Stover for Fuel Ethanol," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 7(3‐4), pages 117-146, July.
    4. Sheng Yang & Timothy A. Volk & Marie-Odile P. Fortier, 2020. "Willow Biomass Crops Are a Carbon Negative or Low-Carbon Feedstock Depending on Prior Land Use and Transportation Distances to End Users," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-26, August.
    5. Zakaria, A. & Ismail, Firas B. & Lipu, M.S. Hossain & Hannan, M.A., 2020. "Uncertainty models for stochastic optimization in renewable energy applications," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 1543-1571.
    6. Björnebo, Lars & Spatari, Sabrina & Gurian, Patrick L., 2018. "A greenhouse gas abatement framework for investment in district heating," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 211(C), pages 1095-1105.
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