IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v12y2020i22p9339-d442824.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Analysis of Cost-Optimal Renewable Energy Expansion for the Near-Term Jordanian Electricity System

Author

Listed:
  • Simon Hilpert

    (Department of Energy and Environmental Management, Auf dem Campus 1, Europa Universität Flensburg, 24941 Flensburg, Germany)

  • Franziska Dettner

    (Department of Energy and Environmental Management, Auf dem Campus 1, Europa Universität Flensburg, 24941 Flensburg, Germany)

  • Ahmed Al-Salaymeh

    (Mechanical Engineering Department, University of Jordan, Amman 11942, Jordan)

Abstract

Jordan is affected by an ever changing environment in the midst of climate change, political challenges, a fast growing economy and socio-economic pressures. Among other countries in the Middle East and Northern Africa, Jordan is facing a number of electricity related challenges, such as a rising energy demand, high dependency on fossil fuel imports and management of local, fossil and renewable resources. The paper presents an analysis based on an open source optimisation modelling approach identifying a cost-optimal extension of the Jordanian electricity system with growing demand projections until 2030 utilising pumped hydro energy storage and determining the costs of different CO 2 mitigation pathways. The results highlight the large potential of renewable energy for the cost effective, environmentally friendly and energy independent development of the Jordanian electricity sector. A share of up to 50% renewable energy can be achieved with only a minor increase in levelised cost of electricity from 54.42 to 57.04 $/MWh. In particular, a combination of photovoltaic and pumped hydro storage proved to be a superior solution compared to the expansion of existing shale oil deployments due to high costs and CO 2 emissions. Aiming for a more than 50% renewable energy share within the electricity mix calls for substantial wind energy deployments. In a system with a renewable energy share of 90%, wind energy covers 45% of the demand.

Suggested Citation

  • Simon Hilpert & Franziska Dettner & Ahmed Al-Salaymeh, 2020. "Analysis of Cost-Optimal Renewable Energy Expansion for the Near-Term Jordanian Electricity System," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(22), pages 1-21, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:12:y:2020:i:22:p:9339-:d:442824
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/12/22/9339/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/12/22/9339/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Andreas Schröder & Friedrich Kunz & Jan Meiss & Roman Mendelevitch & Christian von Hirschhausen, 2013. "Current and Prospective Costs of Electricity Generation until 2050," Data Documentation 68, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    2. Aziz Atamanov & Jon Jellema & Umar Serajuddin, 2017. "Energy Subsidies Reform in Jordan: Welfare Implications of Different Scenarios," Natural Resource Management and Policy, in: Paolo Verme & Abdlekrim Araar (ed.), The Quest for Subsidy Reforms in the Middle East and North Africa Region, chapter 0, pages 179-206, Springer.
    3. Javed, Muhammad Shahzad & Zhong, Dan & Ma, Tao & Song, Aotian & Ahmed, Salman, 2020. "Hybrid pumped hydro and battery storage for renewable energy based power supply system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 257(C).
    4. Abdelrahman Azzuni & Arman Aghahosseini & Manish Ram & Dmitrii Bogdanov & Upeksha Caldera & Christian Breyer, 2020. "Energy Security Analysis for a 100% Renewable Energy Transition in Jordan by 2050," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(12), pages 1-26, June.
    5. Ueckerdt, Falko & Hirth, Lion & Luderer, Gunnar & Edenhofer, Ottmar, 2013. "System LCOE: What are the costs of variable renewables?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 61-75.
    6. Staffell, Iain & Pfenninger, Stefan, 2016. "Using bias-corrected reanalysis to simulate current and future wind power output," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 1224-1239.
    7. Ahmad Alshwawra & Ahmad Almuhtady, 2020. "Impact of Regional Conflicts on Energy Security in Jordan," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(3), pages 45-50.
    8. Kiwan, Suhil & Al-Gharibeh, Elyasa, 2020. "Jordan toward a 100% renewable electricity system," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 147(P1), pages 423-436.
    9. Ole Zelt & Christine Krüger & Marina Blohm & Sönke Bohm & Shahrazad Far, 2019. "Long-Term Electricity Scenarios for the MENA Region: Assessing the Preferences of Local Stakeholders Using Multi-Criteria Analyses," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-26, August.
    10. Pfenninger, Stefan & Staffell, Iain, 2016. "Long-term patterns of European PV output using 30 years of validated hourly reanalysis and satellite data," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 1251-1265.
    11. Atamanov Aziz & Jon Jellema & Umar Serajuddin, 2015. "Energy Subsidies Reform in Jordan," World Bank Publications - Reports 22051, The World Bank Group.
    12. Al-omary, Murad & Kaltschmitt, Martin & Becker, Christian, 2018. "Electricity system in Jordan: Status & prospects," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 81(P2), pages 2398-2409.
    13. Hrayshat, Eyad S., 2007. "Analysis of renewable energy situation in Jordan," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 11(8), pages 1873-1887, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Martin Kittel & Wolf-Peter Schill, 2021. "Renewable Energy Targets and Unintended Storage Cycling: Implications for Energy Modeling," Papers 2107.13380, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2021.
    2. Izabela Rogalska & Damian Opalach & Radoslaw Sanko, 2020. "Impact of Wind Farms on the Economic and Financial Standing of the Korsze Commune (Wplyw elektrowni wiatrowych na sytuacje ekonomiczna gminy miejsko-wiejskiej)," Research Reports, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Management, vol. 1(32), pages 59-69.
    3. Rahaf S. Ghanem & Laura Nousch & Maria Richter, 2022. "Modeling of a Grid-Independent Set-Up of a PV/SOFC Micro-CHP System Combined with a Seasonal Energy Storage for Residential Applications," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-20, February.
    4. Batara Surya & Andi Muhibuddin & Seri Suriani & Emil Salim Rasyidi & Baharuddin Baharuddin & Andi Tenri Fitriyah & Herminawaty Abubakar, 2021. "Economic Evaluation, Use of Renewable Energy, and Sustainable Urban Development Mamminasata Metropolitan, Indonesia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-45, January.
    5. Schmeling, Lucas & Schönfeldt, Patrik & Klement, Peter & Vorspel, Lena & Hanke, Benedikt & von Maydell, Karsten & Agert, Carsten, 2022. "A generalised optimal design methodology for distributed energy systems," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 200(C), pages 1223-1239.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Serena Sandri & Hussam Hussein & Nooh Alshyab, 2020. "Sustainability of the Energy Sector in Jordan: Challenges and Opportunities," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(24), pages 1-25, December.
    2. de Guibert, Paul & Shirizadeh, Behrang & Quirion, Philippe, 2020. "Variable time-step: A method for improving computational tractability for energy system models with long-term storage," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
    3. Topi Rasku & Juha Kiviluoma, 2018. "A Comparison of Widespread Flexible Residential Electric Heating and Energy Efficiency in a Future Nordic Power System," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-27, December.
    4. Fraunholz, Christoph & Miskiw, Kim K. & Kraft, Emil & Fichtner, Wolf & Weber, Christoph, 2021. "On the role of risk aversion and market design in capacity expansion planning," Working Paper Series in Production and Energy 62, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Institute for Industrial Production (IIP).
    5. Claudia Gunther & Wolf-Peter Schill & Alexander Zerrahn, 2019. "Prosumage of solar electricity: tariff design, capacity investments, and power system effects," Papers 1907.09855, arXiv.org.
    6. Günther, Claudia & Schill, Wolf-Peter & Zerrahn, Alexander, 2021. "Prosumage of solar electricity: Tariff design, capacity investments, and power sector effects," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 152.
    7. Matsuo, Yuhji & Endo, Seiya & Nagatomi, Yu & Shibata, Yoshiaki & Komiyama, Ryoichi & Fujii, Yasumasa, 2020. "Investigating the economics of the power sector under high penetration of variable renewable energies," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 267(C).
    8. MILIS, Kevin & STÜBER, Magdalena & BRAET, Johan & SPRINGAEL, Johan, 2021. "A dispatching model based exploration of the post-nuclear phase-out Belgian energy mix," Working Papers 2021007, University of Antwerp, Faculty of Business and Economics.
    9. Abdelrahman Azzuni & Arman Aghahosseini & Manish Ram & Dmitrii Bogdanov & Upeksha Caldera & Christian Breyer, 2020. "Energy Security Analysis for a 100% Renewable Energy Transition in Jordan by 2050," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(12), pages 1-26, June.
    10. Kies, Alexander & Schyska, Bruno U. & Bilousova, Mariia & El Sayed, Omar & Jurasz, Jakub & Stoecker, Horst, 2021. "Critical review of renewable generation datasets and their implications for European power system models," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    11. Thomaßen, Georg & Redl, Christian & Bruckner, Thomas, 2022. "Will the energy-only market collapse? On market dynamics in low-carbon electricity systems," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    12. Coles, Daniel & Wray, Bevan & Stevens, Rob & Crawford, Scott & Pennock, Shona & Miles, Jon, 2023. "Impacts of tidal stream power on energy system security: An Isle of Wight case study," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 334(C).
    13. Robert J. Brecha & Katherine Schoenenberger & Masaō Ashtine & Randy Koon Koon, 2021. "Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion—Flexible Enabling Technology for Variable Renewable Energy Integration in the Caribbean," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-19, April.
    14. Reyseliani, Nadhilah & Purwanto, Widodo Wahyu, 2021. "Pathway towards 100% renewable energy in Indonesia power system by 2050," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 305-321.
    15. Al-Ghussain, Loiy & Abubaker, Ahmad M. & Darwish Ahmad, Adnan, 2021. "Superposition of Renewable-Energy Supply from Multiple Sites Maximizes Demand-Matching: Towards 100% Renewable Grids in 2050," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 284(C).
    16. Clemens Gerbaulet & Casimir Lorenz, 2017. "dynELMOD: A Dynamic Investment and Dispatch Model for the Future European Electricity Market," Data Documentation 88, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    17. Höfer, Tim & Madlener, Reinhard, 2018. "Locational (In-)Efficiency of Renewable Power Generation Feeding in the Electricity Grid: A Spatial Regression Analysis," FCN Working Papers 13/2018, E.ON Energy Research Center, Future Energy Consumer Needs and Behavior (FCN), revised 01 Dec 2019.
    18. Marko Hočevar & Lovrenc Novak & Primož Drešar & Gašper Rak, 2022. "The Status Quo and Future of Hydropower in Slovenia," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-13, September.
    19. Lukas Kriechbaum & Philipp Gradl & Romeo Reichenhauser & Thomas Kienberger, 2020. "Modelling Grid Constraints in a Multi-Energy Municipal Energy System Using Cumulative Exergy Consumption Minimisation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-23, July.
    20. Østergaard, P.A. & Lund, H. & Thellufsen, J.Z. & Sorknæs, P. & Mathiesen, B.V., 2022. "Review and validation of EnergyPLAN," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:12:y:2020:i:22:p:9339-:d:442824. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.