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A Systematic Literature Review of Volatility and Risk Management on Cryptocurrency Investment: A Methodological Point of View

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  • José Almeida

    (ISEG—Lisbon School of Economics & Management, Universidade de Lisboa, Advance/CSG, 1200-781 Lisboa, Portugal)

  • Tiago Cruz Gonçalves

    (ISEG—Lisbon School of Economics & Management, Universidade de Lisboa, Advance/CSG, 1200-781 Lisboa, Portugal)

Abstract

In this study, we explore the research published from 2009 to 2021 and summarize what extant literature has contributed in the last decade to the analysis of volatility and risk management in cryptocurrency investment. Our samples include papers published in journals ranked across different fields in ABS ranked journals. We conduct a bibliometric analysis using VOSviewer software and perform a literature review. Our findings are presented in terms of methodologies used to model cryptocurrencies’ volatility and also according to their main findings pertaining to volatility and risk management in those assets and using them in portfolio management. Our research indicates that the models that consider the Markov-switching regime seem to be more consensual among the authors, and that the best machine learning technique performances are hybrid models that consider the support vector machines (SVM). We also argue that the predictability of volatility, risk reduction, and level of speculation in the cryptocurrency market are improved by the leverage effects and the volatility persistence.

Suggested Citation

  • José Almeida & Tiago Cruz Gonçalves, 2022. "A Systematic Literature Review of Volatility and Risk Management on Cryptocurrency Investment: A Methodological Point of View," Risks, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-18, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jrisks:v:10:y:2022:i:5:p:107-:d:819454
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Akanksha Jalan & Roman Matkovskyy & Saqib Aziz, 2021. "The Bitcoin options market: A first look at pricing and risk," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(17), pages 2026-2041, April.
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    3. Angerer, Martin & Hoffmann, Christian Hugo & Neitzert, Florian & Kraus, Sascha, 2021. "Objective and subjective risks of investing into cryptocurrencies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
    4. Köchling, Gerrit & Schmidtke, Philipp & Posch, Peter N., 2020. "Volatility forecasting accuracy for Bitcoin," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    5. Jiang, Shangrong & Li, Xuerong & Wang, Shouyang, 2021. "Exploring evolution trends in cryptocurrency study: From underlying technology to economic applications," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    6. Ai Jun Hou & Weining Wang & Cathy Y H Chen & Wolfgang Karl Härdle, 2020. "Pricing Cryptocurrency Options," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 18(2), pages 250-279.
    7. Acereda, Beatriz & Leon, Angel & Mora, Juan, 2020. "Estimating the expected shortfall of cryptocurrencies: An evaluation based on backtesting," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
    8. Kyriazis, Nikolaos & Papadamou, Stephanos & Corbet, Shaen, 2020. "A systematic review of the bubble dynamics of cryptocurrency prices," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    9. Katsiampa, Paraskevi & Corbet, Shaen & Lucey, Brian, 2019. "Volatility spillover effects in leading cryptocurrencies: A BEKK-MGARCH analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 68-74.
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    Cited by:

    1. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Huseyin & Agan, Busra, 2022. "Effects of COVID-19 on cryptocurrency and emerging market connectedness: Empirical evidence from quantile, frequency, and lasso networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 604(C).
    2. Almeida, José & Gonçalves, Tiago Cruz, 2023. "A systematic literature review of investor behavior in the cryptocurrency markets," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    3. Alessio Brini & Jimmie Lenz, 2024. "A Comparison of Cryptocurrency Volatility-benchmarking New and Mature Asset Classes," Papers 2404.04962, arXiv.org.
    4. Danai Likitratcharoen & Pan Chudasring & Chakrin Pinmanee & Karawan Wiwattanalamphong, 2023. "The Efficiency of Value-at-Risk Models during Extreme Market Stress in Cryptocurrencies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-21, March.

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