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Energy Planning of Renewable Energy Sources in an Italian Context: Energy Forecasting Analysis of Photovoltaic Systems in the Residential Sector

Author

Listed:
  • Domenico Palladino

    (DUEE Department, Italian National Agency for New Technologies, Energy and Sustainable Economic Development (ENEA), Via Anguillarese 301, Santa Maria di Galeria, 00123 Rome, Italy)

  • Nicolandrea Calabrese

    (DUEE Department, Italian National Agency for New Technologies, Energy and Sustainable Economic Development (ENEA), Via Anguillarese 301, Santa Maria di Galeria, 00123 Rome, Italy)

Abstract

Solar photovoltaic systems will play a key role in the country’s energy mix thanks to their ability to meet increasing energy needs while reducing greenhouse gas emissions. Despite the potential of solar photovoltaic energy, several criticalities remain, such as the intermittent nature and the need for significant land use for its implementation. In this regard, this work aimed at evaluating the photovoltaic potentiality in a national context by 2030 and 2050, considering only installations on the roof surfaces of existing buildings, i.e., without consuming additional land. This study has allowed the answering of three key points: (i) the roof surface could represent a valuable and alternative solution for new installations, since it could amount to around 450 km 2 , (ii) the national target cannot be reached by only using installations on existing buildings, although some regions could get close to the target by 2050, and (iii) long-term energy incentives should be implemented branching out to each national region, considering their photovoltaic potential. Finally, a regional potential index was also defined, capable of evaluating the photovoltaic potential in each region, helping policymakers to adopt the most suitable energy strategies.

Suggested Citation

  • Domenico Palladino & Nicolandrea Calabrese, 2023. "Energy Planning of Renewable Energy Sources in an Italian Context: Energy Forecasting Analysis of Photovoltaic Systems in the Residential Sector," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(7), pages 1-28, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:16:y:2023:i:7:p:3042-:d:1108497
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Putri Nor Liyana Mohamad Radzi & Muhammad Naveed Akhter & Saad Mekhilef & Noraisyah Mohamed Shah, 2023. "Review on the Application of Photovoltaic Forecasting Using Machine Learning for Very Short- to Long-Term Forecasting," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-21, February.
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    3. Hermoso, Virgilio & Bota, Gerard & Brotons, Lluis & Morán-Ordóñez, Alejandra, 2023. "Addressing the challenge of photovoltaic growth: Integrating multiple objectives towards sustainable green energy development," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
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    8. Yandi G. Landera & Oscar C. Zevallos & Rafael C. Neto & Jose F. da Costa Castro & Francisco A. S. Neves, 2023. "A Review of Grid Connection Requirements for Photovoltaic Power Plants," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(5), pages 1-24, February.
    9. Gaetano Mannino & Giuseppe Marco Tina & Mario Cacciato & Leonardo Merlo & Alessio Vincenzo Cucuzza & Fabrizio Bizzarri & Andrea Canino, 2023. "Photovoltaic Module Degradation Forecast Models for Onshore and Offshore Floating Systems," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(5), pages 1-18, February.
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    2. Alessandro Bessi & Mariangela Guidolin & Piero Manfredi, 2024. "Diffusion of Solar PV Energy in Italy: Can Large-Scale PV Installations Trigger the Next Growth Phase?," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(3), pages 1-23, February.

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