IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jeners/v14y2021i10p2865-d555475.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Long-Range Integrated Development Analysis: The Cuban Isla de la Juventud Study Case

Author

Listed:
  • Ernesto Alberto Alvarez

    (Faculty of Electrical Engineering, Electroenergetic Research and Testing Center (CIPEL), Technological University of Havana, CUJAE, 11500 Havana, Cuba)

  • Mika Korkeakoski

    (Finland Futures Research Centre Turku School of Economics, University of Turku, UTU, 20014 Turku, Finland)

  • Ariel Santos Fuentefría

    (Faculty of Electrical Engineering, Electroenergetic Research and Testing Center (CIPEL), Technological University of Havana, CUJAE, 11500 Havana, Cuba)

  • Miriam Lourdes Filgueiras Sainz de Rozas

    (Faculty of Electrical Engineering, Electroenergetic Research and Testing Center (CIPEL), Technological University of Havana, CUJAE, 11500 Havana, Cuba)

  • Ramsés Arcila Padura

    (Faculty of Electrical Engineering, Electroenergetic Research and Testing Center (CIPEL), Technological University of Havana, CUJAE, 11500 Havana, Cuba)

  • Jyrki Luukkanen

    (Finland Futures Research Centre Turku School of Economics, University of Turku, UTU, 20014 Turku, Finland)

Abstract

The use of renewable energy sources (RES) has increased exponentially worldwide, as an alternative to the indiscriminate use of fossil fuels and to mitigate their effects on the environment. Cuba is not lagging behind in this development since the government’s plan until 2030 includes the contribution of renewable sources as a fundamental component in the national energy mix. This paper models possible scenarios based on 2019 statistics for achieving a 25% and 100% penetration of renewable sources by 2030 in the Isla de la Juventud’s (an island south of the main island of Cuba) electrical power system (EPS). This modeling is carried out utilizing and open source Excel-based accounting framework Long-range Integrated Development Analysis (LINDA). For this purpose, international and national trends in the use and development of renewable energy sources and the influence of the characteristics of each renewable source (wind, solar, biodiesel, battery storage) were analyzed. The analysis of Isla de la Juventud’s electrical power system was based on the characteristics of its energy mix, the possibilities of renewable energy penetration and the current and future energy demand by sector. Based on the analysis, two probable scenarios were modeled with LINDA model: a 25% renewable energy-based scenario (RENES) and a 100% renewables-based scenario (MAXRES). Results from RENES and MAXRES scenarios show high penetration of renewable energy sources in electricity generation is theoretically possible with the abundance of renewable energy resources, and thus it is possible for Cuba to move towards 100% renewable energy mix. However, the choices regarding the best fit energy mix need to be carefully analyzed in order to design a least cost system that answers the needs of the future demand.

Suggested Citation

  • Ernesto Alberto Alvarez & Mika Korkeakoski & Ariel Santos Fuentefría & Miriam Lourdes Filgueiras Sainz de Rozas & Ramsés Arcila Padura & Jyrki Luukkanen, 2021. "Long-Range Integrated Development Analysis: The Cuban Isla de la Juventud Study Case," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-23, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:14:y:2021:i:10:p:2865-:d:555475
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/10/2865/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/10/2865/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mendoza-Vizcaino, Javier & Sumper, Andreas & Sudria-Andreu, Antoni & Ramirez, J.M., 2016. "Renewable technologies for generation systems in islands and their application to Cozumel Island, Mexico," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 348-361.
    2. Weir, Tony, 2018. "Renewable energy in the Pacific Islands: Its role and status," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 762-771.
    3. Kuang, Yonghong & Zhang, Yongjun & Zhou, Bin & Li, Canbing & Cao, Yijia & Li, Lijuan & Zeng, Long, 2016. "A review of renewable energy utilization in islands," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 504-513.
    4. Luukkanen, Jyrki & Akgün, Orkide & Kaivo-oja, Jari & Korkeakoski, Mika & Pasanen, Tytti & Panula-Ontto, Juha & Vehmas, Jarmo, 2015. "Long-run energy scenarios for Cambodia and Laos: Building an integrated techno-economic and environmental modelling framework for scenario analyses," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 866-881.
    5. Thushara, De Silva M. & Hornberger, George M. & Baroud, Hiba, 2019. "Decision analysis to support the choice of a future power generation pathway for Sri Lanka," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 240(C), pages 680-697.
    6. Henok Ayele Behabtu & Maarten Messagie & Thierry Coosemans & Maitane Berecibar & Kinde Anlay Fante & Abraham Alem Kebede & Joeri Van Mierlo, 2020. "A Review of Energy Storage Technologies’ Application Potentials in Renewable Energy Sources Grid Integration," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(24), pages 1-20, December.
    7. Luukkanen, J. & Panula-Ontto, J. & Vehmas, J. & Liyong, Liu & Kaivo-oja, J. & Häyhä, L. & Auffermann, B., 2015. "Structural change in Chinese economy: Impacts on energy use and CO2 emissions in the period 2013–2030," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 303-317.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Rafael Sebastián, 2022. "Modeling, Simulation and Control of Wind Diesel Power Systems," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-2, February.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Mika Korkeakoski, 2021. "Towards 100% Renewables by 2030: Transition Alternatives for a Sustainable Electricity Sector in Isla de la Juventud, Cuba," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-22, May.
    2. Hannah Mareike Marczinkowski & Poul Alberg Østergaard & Søren Roth Djørup, 2019. "Transitioning Island Energy Systems—Local Conditions, Development Phases, and Renewable Energy Integration," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-20, September.
    3. Psarros, Georgios N. & Papathanassiou, Stavros A., 2023. "Generation scheduling in island systems with variable renewable energy sources: A literature review," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 205(C), pages 1105-1124.
    4. Manuel Uche-Soria & Carlos Rodríguez-Monroy, 2018. "Special Regulation of Isolated Power Systems: The Canary Islands, Spain," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-20, July.
    5. Andrea A. Eras-Almeida & Miguel A. Egido-Aguilera & Philipp Blechinger & Sarah Berendes & Estefanía Caamaño & Enrique García-Alcalde, 2020. "Decarbonizing the Galapagos Islands: Techno-Economic Perspectives for the Hybrid Renewable Mini-Grid Baltra–Santa Cruz," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-47, March.
    6. Calise, F. & Di Fraia, S. & Macaluso, A. & Massarotti, N. & Vanoli, L., 2018. "A geothermal energy system for wastewater sludge drying and electricity production in a small island," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 130-143.
    7. Pombo, Daniel Vázquez & Martinez-Rico, Jon & Marczinkowski, Hannah M., 2022. "Towards 100% renewable islands in 2040 via generation expansion planning: The case of São Vicente, Cape Verde," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 315(C).
    8. Vaiaso, T.V. Jr. & Jack, M.W., 2021. "Quantifying the trade-off between percentage of renewable supply and affordability in Pacific island countries: Case study of Samoa," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    9. Meza, Carlos Germán & Zuluaga Rodríguez, Catalina & D'Aquino, Camila Agner & Amado, Nilton Bispo & Rodrigues, Alcantaro & Sauer, Ildo Luis, 2019. "Toward a 100% renewable island: A case study of Ometepe's energy mix," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 628-648.
    10. Selosse, Sandrine & Garabedian, Sabine & Ricci, Olivia & Maïzi, Nadia, 2018. "The renewable energy revolution of reunion island," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 99-105.
    11. Javier Mendoza-Vizcaino & Andreas Sumper & Samuel Galceran-Arellano, 2017. "PV, Wind and Storage Integration on Small Islands for the Fulfilment of the 50-50 Renewable Electricity Generation Target," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(6), pages 1-29, May.
    12. Andrea A. Eras-Almeida & Miguel A. Egido-Aguilera, 2020. "What Is Still Necessary for Supporting the SDG7 in the Most Vulnerable Contexts?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-28, September.
    13. Eid Gul & Giorgio Baldinelli & Pietro Bartocci, 2022. "Energy Transition: Renewable Energy-Based Combined Heat and Power Optimization Model for Distributed Communities," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(18), pages 1-18, September.
    14. Arfaoui, Nadia & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Boubaker, Sabri & Mirza, Nawazish & Karim, Sitara, 2023. "Interdependence of clean energy and green markets with cryptocurrencies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    15. Dalala, Zakariya & Al-Omari, Murad & Al-Addous, Mohammad & Bdour, Mathhar & Al-Khasawneh, Yaqoub & Alkasrawi, Malek, 2022. "Increased renewable energy penetration in national electrical grids constraints and solutions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 246(C).
    16. Wang, Qiang & Kwan, Mei-Po & Zhou, Kan & Fan, Jie & Wang, Yafei & Zhan, Dongsheng, 2019. "Impacts of residential energy consumption on the health burden of household air pollution: Evidence from 135 countries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 284-295.
    17. Villa-Arrieta, Manuel & Sumper, Andreas, 2019. "Economic evaluation of Nearly Zero Energy Cities," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(C), pages 404-416.
    18. Hunt, Julian David & Zakeri, Behnam & Falchetta, Giacomo & Nascimento, Andreas & Wada, Yoshihide & Riahi, Keywan, 2020. "Mountain Gravity Energy Storage: A new solution for closing the gap between existing short- and long-term storage technologies," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).
    19. al Irsyad, M. Indra & Halog, Anthony & Nepal, Rabindra, 2018. "Estimating the impacts of financing support policies towards photovoltaic market in Indonesia: A social-energy-economy-environment (SE3) model simulation," Working Papers 2018-09, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
    20. William López-Castrillón & Héctor H. Sepúlveda & Cristian Mattar, 2021. "Off-Grid Hybrid Electrical Generation Systems in Remote Communities: Trends and Characteristics in Sustainability Solutions," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-29, May.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:14:y:2021:i:10:p:2865-:d:555475. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.