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A Study of Wind Turbine Performance Decline with Age through Operation Data Analysis

Author

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  • Raymond Byrne

    (Centre for Renewables and Energy, Dundalk Institute of Technology, Dublin Road, A91 V5XR Louth, Ireland)

  • Davide Astolfi

    (Department of Engineering, University of Perugia, Via G. Duranti 93, 06125 Perugia, Italy)

  • Francesco Castellani

    (Department of Engineering, University of Perugia, Via G. Duranti 93, 06125 Perugia, Italy)

  • Neil J. Hewitt

    (School of Architecture & the Built Environment, University of Ulster, Belfast BT9 5AG, UK)

Abstract

Ageing of technical systems and machines is a matter of fact. It therefore does not come as a surprise that an energy conversion system such as a wind turbine, which in particular operates under non-stationary conditions, is subjected to performance decline with age. The present study presents an analysis of the performance deterioration with age of a Vestas V52 wind turbine, installed in 2005 at the Dundalk Institute of Technology campus in Ireland. The wind turbine has operated from October 2005 to October 2018 with its original gearbox, that has subsequently been replaced in 2019. Therefore, a key point of the present study is that operation data spanning over thirteen years have been analysed for estimating how the performance degrades in time. To this end, one of the most innovative approaches for wind turbine performance control and monitoring has been employed: a multivariate Support Vector Regression with Gaussian Kernel, whose target is the power output of the wind turbine. Once the model has been trained with a reference data set, the performance degradation is assessed by studying how the residuals between model estimates and measurements evolve. Furthermore, a power curve analysis through the binning method has been performed to estimate the Annual Energy Production variations and suggests that the most convenient strategy for the test case wind turbine (running the gearbox until its end of life) has indeed been adopted. Summarizing, the main results of the present study are as follows: over a ten-year period, the performance of the wind turbine has declined of the order of 5%; the performance deterioration seems to be nonlinear as years pass by; after the gearbox replacement, a fraction of performance deterioration has been recovered, though not all because the rest of the turbine system has been operating for thirteen years from its original state. Finally, it should be noted that the estimate of performance decline is basically consistent with the few results available in the literature.

Suggested Citation

  • Raymond Byrne & Davide Astolfi & Francesco Castellani & Neil J. Hewitt, 2020. "A Study of Wind Turbine Performance Decline with Age through Operation Data Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-18, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:13:y:2020:i:8:p:2086-:d:348571
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Davide Astolfi & Francesco Castellani & Andrea Lombardi & Ludovico Terzi, 2021. "Multivariate SCADA Data Analysis Methods for Real-World Wind Turbine Power Curve Monitoring," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-18, February.
    2. Davide Astolfi & Raymond Byrne & Francesco Castellani, 2021. "Estimation of the Performance Aging of the Vestas V52 Wind Turbine through Comparative Test Case Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-25, February.
    3. Michiel Dhont & Elena Tsiporkova & Veselka Boeva, 2021. "Advanced Discretisation and Visualisation Methods for Performance Profiling of Wind Turbines," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-30, September.
    4. Davide Astolfi & Ravi Pandit & Ludovico Terzi & Andrea Lombardi, 2022. "Discussion of Wind Turbine Performance Based on SCADA Data and Multiple Test Case Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-17, July.
    5. He, Rui & Tian, Zhigang & Wang, Yifei & Zuo, Mingjian & Guo, Ziwei, 2023. "Condition-based maintenance optimization for multi-component systems considering prognostic information and degraded working efficiency," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    6. Davide Astolfi & Raymond Byrne & Francesco Castellani, 2020. "Analysis of Wind Turbine Aging through Operation Curves," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-21, October.
    7. Erik Möllerström & Sean Gregory & Aromal Sugathan, 2021. "Improvement of AEP Predictions with Time for Swedish Wind Farms," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-12, June.
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    9. Davide Astolfi & Ravi Pandit, 2022. "Wind Turbine Performance Decline with Age," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-4, July.
    10. Gisela Pujol-Vazquez & Leonardo Acho & José Gibergans-Báguena, 2020. "Fault Detection Algorithm for Wind Turbines’ Pitch Actuator Systems," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-14, June.
    11. Paxis Marques João Roque & Shyama Pada Chowdhury & Zhongjie Huan, 2021. "Performance Enhancement of Proposed Namaacha Wind Farm by Minimising Losses Due to the Wake Effect: A Mozambican Case Study," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-22, July.
    12. Suo Li & Ling-ling Huang & Yang Liu & Meng-yao Zhang, 2021. "Modeling of Ultra-Short Term Offshore Wind Power Prediction Based on Condition-Assessment of Wind Turbines," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-16, February.
    13. Hyun-Goo Kim & Jin-Young Kim, 2021. "Analysis of Wind Turbine Aging through Operation Data Calibrated by LiDAR Measurement," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-12, April.

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