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Prediction in Photovoltaic Power by Neural Networks

Author

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  • Antonello Rosato

    (Department of Information Engineering, Electronics and Telecommunications, University of Rome “La Sapienza”, via Eudossiana, 18, Rome 00184, Italy)

  • Rosa Altilio

    (Department of Information Engineering, Electronics and Telecommunications, University of Rome “La Sapienza”, via Eudossiana, 18, Rome 00184, Italy)

  • Rodolfo Araneo

    (Electrical Engineering Division of Department of Astronautical, Electrical and Energy Engineering, University of Rome “La Sapienza”, via Eudossiana, 18, Rome 00184, Italy)

  • Massimo Panella

    (Department of Information Engineering, Electronics and Telecommunications, University of Rome “La Sapienza”, via Eudossiana, 18, Rome 00184, Italy)

Abstract

The ability to forecast the power produced by renewable energy plants in the short and middle term is a key issue to allow a high-level penetration of the distributed generation into the grid infrastructure. Forecasting energy production is mandatory for dispatching and distribution issues, at the transmission system operator level, as well as the electrical distributor and power system operator levels. In this paper, we present three techniques based on neural and fuzzy neural networks, namely the radial basis function, the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system and the higher-order neuro-fuzzy inference system, which are well suited to predict data sequences stemming from real-world applications. The preliminary results concerning the prediction of the power generated by a large-scale photovoltaic plant in Italy confirm the reliability and accuracy of the proposed approaches.

Suggested Citation

  • Antonello Rosato & Rosa Altilio & Rodolfo Araneo & Massimo Panella, 2017. "Prediction in Photovoltaic Power by Neural Networks," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-25, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:10:y:2017:i:7:p:1003-:d:104790
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Antonello Rosato & Rodolfo Araneo & Amedeo Andreotti & Federico Succetti & Massimo Panella, 2021. "2-D Convolutional Deep Neural Network for the Multivariate Prediction of Photovoltaic Time Series," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-18, April.
    2. Zheng, Lingwei & Liu, Zhaokun & Shen, Junnan & Wu, Chenxi, 2018. "Very short-term maximum Lyapunov exponent forecasting tool for distributed photovoltaic output," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 229(C), pages 1128-1139.
    3. Honglu Zhu & Weiwei Lian & Lingxing Lu & Songyuan Dai & Yang Hu, 2017. "An Improved Forecasting Method for Photovoltaic Power Based on Adaptive BP Neural Network with a Scrolling Time Window," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-18, October.
    4. Takuji Matsumoto & Yuji Yamada, 2021. "Comprehensive and Comparative Analysis of GAM-Based PV Power Forecasting Models Using Multidimensional Tensor Product Splines against Machine Learning Techniques," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-22, November.
    5. Gianfranco Di Lorenzo & Erika Stracqualursi & Leonardo Micheli & Luigi Martirano & Rodolfo Araneo, 2022. "Challenges in Energy Communities: State of the Art and Future Perspectives," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-5, October.
    6. Rosato, Antonello & Panella, Massimo & Andreotti, Amedeo & Mohammed, Osama A. & Araneo, Rodolfo, 2021. "Two-stage dynamic management in energy communities using a decision system based on elastic net regularization," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 291(C).
    7. C. Rohmingtluanga & Subir Datta & Nidul Sinha & Taha Selim Ustun & Akhtar Kalam, 2022. "ANFIS-Based Droop Control of an AC Microgrid System: Considering Intake of Water Treatment Plant," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-24, October.
    8. Leonori, Stefano & Martino, Alessio & Frattale Mascioli, Fabio Massimo & Rizzi, Antonello, 2020. "Microgrid Energy Management Systems Design by Computational Intelligence Techniques," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 277(C).
    9. Nailya Maitanova & Jan-Simon Telle & Benedikt Hanke & Matthias Grottke & Thomas Schmidt & Karsten von Maydell & Carsten Agert, 2020. "A Machine Learning Approach to Low-Cost Photovoltaic Power Prediction Based on Publicly Available Weather Reports," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-23, February.
    10. Fabrizio De Caro & Amedeo Andreotti & Rodolfo Araneo & Massimo Panella & Antonello Rosato & Alfredo Vaccaro & Domenico Villacci, 2020. "A Review of the Enabling Methodologies for Knowledge Discovery from Smart Grids Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(24), pages 1-25, December.
    11. Yoon, Ah-Yun & Kim, Young-Jin & Zakula, Tea & Moon, Seung-Ill, 2020. "Retail electricity pricing via online-learning of data-driven demand response of HVAC systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 265(C).
    12. Gianfranco Di Lorenzo & Erika Stracqualursi & Leonardo Micheli & Salvatore Celozzi & Rodolfo Araneo, 2022. "Prognostic Methods for Photovoltaic Systems’ Underperformance and Degradation: Status, Perspectives, and Challenges," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(17), pages 1-6, September.

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