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Applications for solar irradiance nowcasting in the control of microgrids: A review

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  • Samu, Remember
  • Calais, Martina
  • Shafiullah, G.M.
  • Moghbel, Moayed
  • Shoeb, Md Asaduzzaman
  • Nouri, Bijan
  • Blum, Niklas

Abstract

The integration of solar photovoltaic (PV) into electricity networks introduces technical challenges due to varying PV output. Rapid ramp events due to cloud movements are of particular concern for the operation of remote islanded microgrids (MGs) with high penetration of solar PV generation. PV plants and optionally controllable distributed energy resources (DERs) in MGs can be operated in an optimized way based on nowcasting, which is also called very short-term solar irradiance forecasting up to 60 min ahead. This study presents an extensive literature review on nowcasting technologies along with their current and future possible applications in the control of MGs. Ramp rates control and scheduling of spinning reserves are found to be the most recognized applications of nowcasting in MGs. An online survey has been conducted to identify the limitations, benefits and challenges of deploying nowcasting in MGs. The survey outcomes show that the incorporation of nowcasting tools in MG operations is still limited, though the possibility of increasing solar PV penetration levels in MGs if nowcasting tools are incorporated is acknowledged. Additionally, recent nowcasting tools, such as sky camera-based tools, require further validation under various conditions for more widespread adaptation by power system operators.

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  • Samu, Remember & Calais, Martina & Shafiullah, G.M. & Moghbel, Moayed & Shoeb, Md Asaduzzaman & Nouri, Bijan & Blum, Niklas, 2021. "Applications for solar irradiance nowcasting in the control of microgrids: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:rensus:v:147:y:2021:i:c:s1364032121004755
    DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2021.111187
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    Cited by:

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    2. Abdallah Abdellatif & Hamza Mubarak & Shameem Ahmad & Tofael Ahmed & G. M. Shafiullah & Ahmad Hammoudeh & Hamdan Abdellatef & M. M. Rahman & Hassan Muwafaq Gheni, 2022. "Forecasting Photovoltaic Power Generation with a Stacking Ensemble Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-21, September.
    3. Paletta, Quentin & Arbod, Guillaume & Lasenby, Joan, 2023. "Omnivision forecasting: Combining satellite and sky images for improved deterministic and probabilistic intra-hour solar energy predictions," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 336(C).
    4. Chen, Xiaoyang & Du, Yang & Lim, Enggee & Fang, Lurui & Yan, Ke, 2022. "Towards the applicability of solar nowcasting: A practice on predictive PV power ramp-rate control," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 195(C), pages 147-166.

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