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A Knowledge-Driven Smart System Based on Reinforcement Learning for Pork Supply-Demand Regulation

Author

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  • Haohao Song

    (College of Engineering, Northeast Agricultural University, Harbin 150030, China)

  • Jiquan Wang

    (College of Engineering, Northeast Agricultural University, Harbin 150030, China)

Abstract

With the advancement of Agriculture 4.0, intelligent systems and data-driven technologies offer new opportunities for pork supply-demand balance regulation, while also confronting challenges such as production cycle fluctuations and epidemic outbreaks. This paper introduces a knowledge-driven smart system for pork supply-demand regulation, which integrates essential components including a knowledge base, a mathematical-model-based expert system, an enhanced optimization framework, and a real-time feedback mechanism. Around the core of the system, a nonlinear constrained optimization model is established, which uses adjustments to newly retained gilts as decision variables and minimizes supply-demand squared errors as its objective function, incorporating multi-dimensional factors such as pig growth dynamics, epidemic impacts, consumption trends, and international trade into its analytical framework. By harnessing dynamic decision-making capabilities of reinforcement learning (RL), we design an optimization architecture centered on the Q-learning mechanism and dual-strategy pools, which is integrated into the honey badger algorithm to form the RL-enhanced honey badger algorithm (RLEHBA). This innovation achieves an efficient balance between exploration and exploitation in model solving and improves system adaptability. Numerical experiments demonstrate RLEHBA’s superior performance over State-of-the-Art algorithms on the CEC 2017 benchmark. A case study of China’s 2026 pork regulation confirms the system’s practical value in stabilizing the supply-demand balance and optimizing resource allocation. Finally, some targeted managerial insights are proposed. This study constructs a replicable framework for intelligent livestock regulation, and it also holds transformative significance for sustainable and adaptive supply chain management in global agri-food systems.

Suggested Citation

  • Haohao Song & Jiquan Wang, 2025. "A Knowledge-Driven Smart System Based on Reinforcement Learning for Pork Supply-Demand Regulation," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-34, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jagris:v:15:y:2025:i:14:p:1484-:d:1699095
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Panos Fousekis & Brian J Revell, 2003. "Quadratic Differential Demand Systems and the Retail Demand for Pork in Great Britain," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 54(3), pages 417-430, November.
    2. Erez Cohen, 2022. "Regulating Demand or Supply: Examining Israel’s Public Policy for Reducing Housing Prices During 2015–2019," Housing Policy Debate, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(3), pages 533-548, May.
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    4. Jie Pang & Juan Yin & Guangchang Lu & Shimei Li, 2023. "Supply and Demand Changes, Pig Epidemic Shocks, and Pork Price Fluctuations: An Empirical Study Based on an SVAR Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(17), pages 1-16, August.
    5. Leishi Wang & Mingtao Li & Xin Pei & Juan Zhang, 2022. "Optimal Breeding Strategy for Livestock with a Dynamic Price," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-24, May.
    6. Haohao Song & Jiquan Wang & Gang Xu & Zhanwei Tian & Fei Xu & Hong Deng, 2024. "Novel Model for Pork Supply Prediction in China Based on Modified Self-Organizing Migrating Algorithm," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-30, September.
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    9. Monika Zielińska-Sitkiewicz & Mariola Chrzanowska, 2021. "Prediction of pork meat prices by selected methods as an element supporting the decision-making process," Operations Research and Decisions, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Management, vol. 31(3), pages 137-152.
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