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The estimated macroeconomic effects of the Federal Reserve's large-scale Treasury purchase program

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  • Jeffrey C. Fuhrer
  • Giovanni P. Olivei

Abstract

This brief examines an issue of current importance to the conduct of U.S. economic policy: how has the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) plan to purchase up to $600 billion of Treasury securities by June 30, 2011 affected the movement of inflation, GDP, and employment to more desirable medium-term and long-term levels? Following the FOMC's announcement of the plan on November 3, 2010, other events that potentially influence Treasury yields have been at play. To estimate the effects that the FOMC Treasury purchases may have on the goal of achieving more desirable levels of inflation and employment, the authors make use of different models to gauge the likely effect upon interest rates, the interest rate effects on real spending (GDP), and how changes in GDP may be affecting the employment rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Jeffrey C. Fuhrer & Giovanni P. Olivei, 2011. "The estimated macroeconomic effects of the Federal Reserve's large-scale Treasury purchase program," Public Policy Brief, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedbpb:y:2011:n:11-2
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. James D. Hamilton & Jing Cynthia Wu, 2012. "The Effectiveness of Alternative Monetary Policy Tools in a Zero Lower Bound Environment," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44, pages 3-46, February.
    2. Eric Rosengren, 2010. "Five questions about current monetary policy," Speech 40, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    3. Joseph E. Gagnon & Matthew Raskin & Julie Remache & Brian P. Sack, 2011. "Large-scale asset purchases by the Federal Reserve: did they work?," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 17(May), pages 41-59.
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