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Detecting Information-Driven Trading in a Dealers Market

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Abstract

We focus on the extent of information-driven trading originating from order flows to capture the behavior of the market makers on an emerging market. We modified the classical Easley et al. (1996) model for the probability of informed trading using a jackknife approach in which trades of one particular market maker at a time are left out from the sum of all buys and sells. Using the estimates from the jackknife approach, for each market maker we test whether the order flows associated with the particular market maker behaved significantly differently from the others. Data from the Prague Stock Exchange SPAD trading platform are used to demonstrate our methodology. Finding significant differences in the probability of informed trading computed from order flows, we conclude that order flows could reveal the extent of information-driven trading and could potentially be used by regulatory authorities to identify suspicious behavior by market participants.

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  • Jan Hanousek & František Kopøiva, 2011. "Detecting Information-Driven Trading in a Dealers Market," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 61(3), pages 204-229, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:fau:fauart:v:61:y:2011:i:3:p:204-229
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Cline, Brandon N. & Posylnaya, Valeriya V., 2019. "Illegal insider trading: Commission and SEC detection," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 247-269.
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    3. Dinabandhu Bag, 2019. "Information Content Of Stocks In Call Auction Of Shorter Duration In Emerging Market," Copernican Journal of Finance & Accounting, Uniwersytet Mikolaja Kopernika, vol. 8(4), pages 113-132.
    4. Hanousek, Jan & Kopřiva, František, 2013. "Do broker/analyst conflicts matter? Detecting evidence from internet trading platforms," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 86-92.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    dealers’ market; emerging markets; informed trading; trading systems;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • P34 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Socialist Institutions and Their Transitions - - - Finance

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