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The long and short run forcing variables of purchasing power parity of ASEAN-5

  • Abdalrahman AbuDalu

    (College of Business, Universiti Utara Malaysia, Kedah, Malaysia)

  • Elsadig Musa Ahmed

    (Faculty of Business, Multimedia University, Malaysia)

This study examines the long-run and short-run forcing variables of purchasing power parity (PPP) for ASEAN-5 currencies vis-a-vis the U.S. dollar, i.e., their real effective exchange rate (REER). This study uses the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to co-integration over the period 1991:Q1 – 2006:Q2. Our empirical results suggest that the domestic money supply (M1) is a significant long run forcing variable for the REERs of Malaysia, Indonesia, the Philippines, and Singapore. However, the results suggest that the foreign interest rate (R*) is a long run forcing variable for Thailand’s REER. The findings can derive policy implication for the monetary authorities in these ASEAN-5 countries.

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Article provided by E3 Journals in its journal E3 Journal of Business Management and Economics..

Volume (Year): 4 (2013)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
Pages: 066-081

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Handle: RePEc:etr:series:v:4:y:2013:i:3:p:066-081
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