IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/trapol/v177y2026ics0967070x2500472x.html

Dynamic scheduling modelling of congestion pricing: Assessing travel behaviour and welfare impacts in Greater Helsinki

Author

Listed:
  • Wang, Qian
  • Jonsson, Daniel
  • Karlström, Anders

Abstract

Congestion charging systems have emerged as a promising policy tool for mitigating traffic congestion and reducing emissions in urban areas. This study applies a dynamic activity scheduling model to assess the effects of congestion pricing in the Greater Helsinki region. By simulating daily activity patterns and travel behaviour, we analyse the impacts of congestion charges on mode choice, destination selection, and departure time adjustments. Our findings reveal a 10% reduction in car use and a 27% decrease in total car kilometres travelled, demonstrating the effectiveness of congestion pricing in alleviating traffic congestion. However, the analysis also highlights the potential equity concerns, with impacts varying across locations and commuting patterns. These insights contribute to the growing body of evidence on the behavioural and distributional consequences of congestion pricing, offering valuable guidance for policymakers.

Suggested Citation

  • Wang, Qian & Jonsson, Daniel & Karlström, Anders, 2026. "Dynamic scheduling modelling of congestion pricing: Assessing travel behaviour and welfare impacts in Greater Helsinki," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:trapol:v:177:y:2026:i:c:s0967070x2500472x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103929
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0967070X2500472X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103929?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Rust, John, 1987. "Optimal Replacement of GMC Bus Engines: An Empirical Model of Harold Zurcher," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(5), pages 999-1033, September.
    2. Jokinen, Jani-Pekka & Sihvola, Teemu & Mladenovic, Milos N., 2019. "Policy lessons from the flexible transport service pilot Kutsuplus in the Helsinki Capital Region," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 123-133.
    3. McCarthy, Stephen & Naqavi, Fatemeh & Jonsson, Daniel & Karlström, Anders & Beser Hugosson, Muriel, 2024. "Modelling scenarios in planning for future employment growth in Stockholm," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    4. Kristoffersson, Ida & Engelson, Leonid & Börjesson, Maria, 2017. "Efficiency vs equity: Conflicting objectives of congestion charges," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 99-107.
    5. Georgina Santos, 2004. "Urban Congestion Charging: A Second-Best Alternative," Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, University of Bath, vol. 38(3), pages 345-369, September.
    6. Börjesson, Maria & Kristoffersson, Ida, 2018. "The Swedish congestion charges: Ten years on," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 35-51.
    7. Kottenhoff, Karl & Brundell Freij, Karin, 2009. "The role of public transport for feasibility and acceptability of congestion charging - The case of Stockholm," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 43(3), pages 297-305, March.
    8. Cowell, Frank, 2011. "Measuring Inequality," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, edition 3, number 9780199594047.
    9. Naqavi, Fatemeh & Sundberg, Marcus & Västberg, Oskar Blom & Karlström, Anders & Hugosson, Muriel Beser, 2023. "Mobility constraints and accessibility to work: Application to Stockholm," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    10. Karlström, Anders & Franklin, Joel P., 2009. "Behavioral adjustments and equity effects of congestion pricing: Analysis of morning commutes during the Stockholm Trial," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 43(3), pages 283-296, March.
    11. Safirova, Elena & Gillingham, Kenneth & Parry, Ian & Nelson, Peter & Harrington, Winston & Mason, David, 2004. "8. Welfare And Distributional Effects Of Road Pricing Schemes For Metropolitan Washington Dc," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 9(1), pages 179-206, January.
    12. Gibson, Matthew & Carnovale, Maria, 2015. "The effects of road pricing on driver behavior and air pollution," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 62-73.
    13. Moulin, Léonard & Urbano, Valeria Maria, 2025. "Evaluating the effectiveness of two congestion limitation policies in Milan: Charge increase and vehicle type," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 17-27.
    14. Erik T. Verhoef & C. Robin Lindsey & Esko Niskanen & André Palma & Paavo Moilanen & Stef Proost & Arild Vold, 2008. "Implementation Paths for Marginal Cost-Based Pricing in Urban Transport: Theoretical Considerations and Case Study Results," Advances in Spatial Science, in: Chris Jensen-Butler & Birgitte Sloth & Morten Marott Larsen & Bjarne Madsen & Otto Anker Nielsen (ed.), Road Pricing, the Economy and the Environment, chapter 4, pages 49-78, Springer.
    15. He, Brian Yueshuai & Zhou, Jinkai & Ma, Ziyi & Wang, Ding & Sha, Di & Lee, Mina & Chow, Joseph Y.J. & Ozbay, Kaan, 2021. "A validated multi-agent simulation test bed to evaluate congestion pricing policies on population segments by time-of-day in New York City," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 145-161.
    16. Georgina Santos & Laurent Rojey, 2004. "Distributional impacts of road pricing: The truth behind the myth," Transportation, Springer, vol. 31(1), pages 21-42, February.
    17. Oskar Blom Västberg & Anders Karlström & Daniel Jonsson & Marcus Sundberg, 2020. "A Dynamic Discrete Choice Activity-Based Travel Demand Model," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 54(1), pages 21-41, January.
    18. Jing, Peiyu & Seshadri, Ravi & Sakai, Takanori & Shamshiripour, Ali & Alho, Andre Romano & Lentzakis, Antonios & Ben-Akiva, Moshe E., 2024. "Evaluating congestion pricing schemes using agent-based passenger and freight microsimulation," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
    19. de Palma, André & Kilani, Moez & Lindsey, Robin, 2005. "Congestion pricing on a road network: A study using the dynamic equilibrium simulator METROPOLIS," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 39(7-9), pages 588-611.
    20. Bonsall, Peter & Shires, Jeremy & Maule, John & Matthews, Bryan & Beale, Jo, 2007. "Responses to complex pricing signals: Theory, evidence and implications for road pricing," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 41(7), pages 672-683, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kristoffersson, Ida & Engelson, Leonid, 2016. "Efficiency and equity of congestion charges," Working papers in Transport Economics 2016:7, CTS - Centre for Transport Studies Stockholm (KTH and VTI).
    2. Vosough, Shaghayegh & de Palma, André & Lindsey, Robin, 2022. "Pricing vehicle emissions and congestion externalities using a dynamic traffic network simulator," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 1-24.
    3. Jing, Peiyu & Seshadri, Ravi & Sakai, Takanori & Shamshiripour, Ali & Alho, Andre Romano & Lentzakis, Antonios & Ben-Akiva, Moshe E., 2024. "Evaluating congestion pricing schemes using agent-based passenger and freight microsimulation," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
    4. Huang, Zhiran & Sun, Yi, 2026. "Assessing emergency medical services (EMS) accessibility before and after road pricing: A dynamic 2SFCA approach," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    5. Börjesson, Maria & Eliasson, Jonas & Rubensson, Isak, 2020. "Distributional effects of public transport subsidies," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    6. André de Palma & Shaghayegh Vosough & Robin Lindsey, 2020. "Pricing vehicle emissions and congestion using a dynamic traffic network simulator," Thema Working Papers 2020-09, THEMA (Théorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), CY Cergy-Paris University, ESSEC and CNRS.
    7. Andrea Baranzini & Stefano Carattini & Linda Tesauro, 2021. "Designing Effective and Acceptable Road Pricing Schemes: Evidence from the Geneva Congestion Charge," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 79(3), pages 417-482, July.
    8. Eliasson, Jonas, 2014. "The Stockholm congestion charges: an overview," Working papers in Transport Economics 2014:7, CTS - Centre for Transport Studies Stockholm (KTH and VTI).
    9. Bofinger, Peter & Feld, Lars P. & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Schnabel, Isabel & Wieland, Volker, 2018. "Vor wichtigen wirtschaftspolitischen Weichenstellungen. Jahresgutachten 2018/19 [Setting the Right Course for Economic Policy. Annual Report 2018/19]," Annual Economic Reports / Jahresgutachten, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, volume 127, number 201819.
    10. Maruyama, Takuya & Sumalee, Agachai, 2007. "Efficiency and equity comparison of cordon- and area-based road pricing schemes using a trip-chain equilibrium model," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 41(7), pages 655-671, August.
    11. Safirova, Elena & Gillingham, Kenneth & Houde, Sébastien, 2007. "Measuring marginal congestion costs of urban transportation: Do networks matter?," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 41(8), pages 734-749, October.
    12. Börjesson, Maria & Kristoffersson, Ida, 2018. "The Swedish congestion charges: Ten years on," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 35-51.
    13. Peiyu Jing & Ravi Seshadri & Takanori Sakai & Ali Shamshiripour & Andre Romano Alho & Antonios Lentzakis & Moshe E. Ben-Akiva, 2023. "Evaluating congestion pricing schemes using agent-based passenger and freight microsimulation," Papers 2305.07318, arXiv.org.
    14. Eliasson, Jonas & Mattsson, Lars-Göran, 2006. "Equity effects of congestion pricing: Quantitative methodology and a case study for Stockholm," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 40(7), pages 602-620, August.
    15. Rødseth, Kenneth Løvold & Wangsness, Paal Brevik & Alexander Gregersen, Fredrik, 2024. "Panel data analysis of drivers under an evolving cordon tolling system," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
    16. Nguyen, Thi Ngoc & Müsgens, Felix, 2026. "Fuel tax loss in a world of electric mobility: A window of opportunity for congestion pricing," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    17. Robin Lindsey & André de Palma & Pouya Rezaeini, 2022. "Tolls vs tradable permits for managing travel on a bimodal congested network with variable capacities and demands," Thema Working Papers 2022-06, THEMA (Théorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), CY Cergy-Paris University, ESSEC and CNRS.
    18. Thi Ngoc Nguyen & Felix Muesgens, 2024. "Fuel tax loss in a world of electric mobility: A window of opportunity for congestion pricing," Papers 2409.20033, arXiv.org.
    19. Moeinaddini, Amin & Habibian, Meeghat & Zou, Yajie & Zhang, Tianren & Li, Linbo, 2026. "Assessing acceptability of push-pull TDM policy packages: Integrating objective and subjective factors via hybrid choice modeling," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    20. Geng, Kexin & Wang, Yacan & Cherchi, Elisabetta & Guarda, Pablo, 2023. "Commuter departure time choice behavior under congestion charge: Analysis based on cumulative prospect theory," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:trapol:v:177:y:2026:i:c:s0967070x2500472x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/30473/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.